CAJ | 학술논문

本文在Anderson-Neary贸易限制指数理论的基础上，运用可计算的一般均衡模型，测算了中国农产品市场准入政策的保护水平和结构，并对测算结果进行了敏感性检验。结果表明，加入WTO之后中国农产品市场准入政策的保护水平明显降低，而2007年次贷危机之后，保护水平上升较明显，2011年全球经济恢复发展，中国农产品市场准入政策的保护水平也明显下降。同时，从保护结构看，现阶段对受非关税壁垒政策影响的农产品、中间产品、劳动密集型产品、消费者导向产品、畜产品和其他农产品的贸易政策的调整对调节我国农产品市场准入政策的保护水平更有效。此外，测算结果对不同弹性的敏感性较弱，计算结果较为稳健。
본문재Anderson-Neary무역한제지수이론적기출상，운용가계산적일반균형모형，측산료중국농산품시장준입정책적보호수평화결구，병대측산결과진행료민감성검험。결과표명，가입WTO지후중국농산품시장준입정책적보호수평명현강저，이2007년차대위궤지후，보호수평상승교명현，2011년전구경제회복발전，중국농산품시장준입정책적보호수평야명현하강。동시，종보호결구간，현계단대수비관세벽루정책영향적농산품、중간산품、노동밀집형산품、소비자도향산품、축산품화기타농산품적무역정책적조정대조절아국농산품시장준입정책적보호수평경유효。차외，측산결과대불동탄성적민감성교약，계산결과교위은건。
Based on the theory of Anderson-Neary＇s Trade Restrictiveness Index, this paper uses a computable general equilibrium model to measure the protection level and structure of our agricultural products market access policy. Also we test the sensitivity of the measuring results. It finds that after China＇s access to the WTO, the protection level of our agricultural products market access policy lowers significantly. While after the sub-prime crisis in 2007, the protection level goes up obviously. And later in 2011, the world economy recovers and develops, and the protection level of our agrieuhural products market access policy declines distinctly. Meanwhile from the protection structure point of view, at present the adjustment of the protection level of NTB-constrained products, intermediate products, labor-intensive products, consumer- oriented products, animal by-products and other products will be more effective to the adjustment of the protection level of our agricultural products market access policy. Besides, the sensitivity of the measuring results to different elasticity values is low, and the calculation results are relatively steady.