财经科学
財經科學
재경과학
Finance and Economics
2014年
8期
88~96
,共null页
社会物流成本 GDP比重 物流业
社會物流成本 GDP比重 物流業
사회물류성본 GDP비중 물류업
Social Logistics Cost; GDP Composition; Logistics
社会物流成本占GDP的比重是衡量一个国家或地区物流业发展水平的标准。如何降低我国社会物流成本,缩小与发达国家这一指标的差距是理论界和实务界关注的热点问题。本文采用多元回归分析方法,分析了产业结构、经济发展水平、科技发展水平和市场化程度等因素对社会物流成本占GDP比重的影响关系。结果显示第一产业所占比重正向影响社会物流成本占GDP的比重,第二、三产业负向影响社会物流成本占GDP的比重;科技发展水平与社会物流成本占GDP的比重呈负向影响关系;经济发展水平和市场化程度对社会物流成本占GDP的比重没有显著影响关系。
社會物流成本佔GDP的比重是衡量一箇國傢或地區物流業髮展水平的標準。如何降低我國社會物流成本,縮小與髮達國傢這一指標的差距是理論界和實務界關註的熱點問題。本文採用多元迴歸分析方法,分析瞭產業結構、經濟髮展水平、科技髮展水平和市場化程度等因素對社會物流成本佔GDP比重的影響關繫。結果顯示第一產業所佔比重正嚮影響社會物流成本佔GDP的比重,第二、三產業負嚮影響社會物流成本佔GDP的比重;科技髮展水平與社會物流成本佔GDP的比重呈負嚮影響關繫;經濟髮展水平和市場化程度對社會物流成本佔GDP的比重沒有顯著影響關繫。
사회물류성본점GDP적비중시형량일개국가혹지구물류업발전수평적표준。여하강저아국사회물류성본,축소여발체국가저일지표적차거시이론계화실무계관주적열점문제。본문채용다원회귀분석방법,분석료산업결구、경제발전수평、과기발전수평화시장화정도등인소대사회물류성본점GDP비중적영향관계。결과현시제일산업소점비중정향영향사회물류성본점GDP적비중,제이、삼산업부향영향사회물류성본점GDP적비중;과기발전수평여사회물류성본점GDP적비중정부향영향관계;경제발전수평화시장화정도대사회물류성본점GDP적비중몰유현저영향관계。
The proportion of social logistics cost in GDP is a standard to measure the logistics industry develop-ment of a country of area. It has become an issue how to reduce China' s social logistics cost and to narrow thegap with developed countries concerning this index in the theoretical and practical circles. By means of multi-variate regression analysis method, the study analyzes such factors as industrial structure, economic developmentlevel, scientific and technological development level and marketizafion degree affecting the proportion of sociallogistios cost in GDP. The result shows that the percentage of primary industry has a positive impact on the pro-portion of social logistics cost in GDP, while that of secondary and tertiary industry has a negative influence onthe proportion of social logistics cost in GDP, revealing the negative influencing relation between Scientific andtechnological development level and the proportion d social logistics cost in GDP, but economic developmentlevel and marketization degree have no significant influence on the proportion d social logistics cost in GDP.