南京社会科学
南京社會科學
남경사회과학
Social Sciences in Nanjing
2014年
7期
147~151
,共null页
城乡居民收入差距 城镇化 协整分析
城鄉居民收入差距 城鎮化 協整分析
성향거민수입차거 성진화 협정분석
income gap between urban and rural residents; urbanization; co-integration analysis
基于江苏省1978—2012年的城乡居民收入差距与城镇化率的数据,运用ADF单位根检验、协整分析、Granger因果关系检验等计量方法,研究了江苏省城乡居民收入差距与城镇化率之间的动态关系。分析结果表明:改革开放30多年来,城乡居民收入差距与城镇化率之间具有稳定的关系,并且是单向因果关系。随着城镇化水平的不断发展,城乡居民收入差距呈逐步拉大的趋势。应积极转变城镇化的发展模式,并提出针对性地措施和建议。
基于江囌省1978—2012年的城鄉居民收入差距與城鎮化率的數據,運用ADF單位根檢驗、協整分析、Granger因果關繫檢驗等計量方法,研究瞭江囌省城鄉居民收入差距與城鎮化率之間的動態關繫。分析結果錶明:改革開放30多年來,城鄉居民收入差距與城鎮化率之間具有穩定的關繫,併且是單嚮因果關繫。隨著城鎮化水平的不斷髮展,城鄉居民收入差距呈逐步拉大的趨勢。應積極轉變城鎮化的髮展模式,併提齣針對性地措施和建議。
기우강소성1978—2012년적성향거민수입차거여성진화솔적수거,운용ADF단위근검험、협정분석、Granger인과관계검험등계량방법,연구료강소성성향거민수입차거여성진화솔지간적동태관계。분석결과표명:개혁개방30다년래,성향거민수입차거여성진화솔지간구유은정적관계,병차시단향인과관계。수착성진화수평적불단발전,성향거민수입차거정축보랍대적추세。응적겁전변성진화적발전모식,병제출침대성지조시화건의。
The measurement of ADF unit root test, co-integration analysis, Granger causality test methods were used to study the dynamic relationship for the income gap between urban and rural residents and the rate of urbanization based on the corresponding data of Jiangsu province during the period of 1978 -2012. The analysis results show that: 30 years of reform and opening up, the stable relationship were existed between urban and rural residents' income and urbanization rate, and is a one-way causal relationship. With the continuous development of urbanization level, the income gap between urban and rural residents gradually widening trend. Therefore, we should actively change the development mode of urbanization, and put forward the corresponding measures and suggestions.