CAJ | 학술논문

亚太区域经济合作迅猛发展，台湾与亚太区域主要经济体有着密切的经贸联系，如果台湾被排除在主要的区域经济协定如TPP与 RCEP之外，可能面临“产业链断裂”的严重后果，这也成为台湾寻求参与亚太区域经济一体化安排的重要动力。文中采用最新的贸易增加值数据（Value Add-ed），去除贸易重复计算的弊端，再通过贸易投资统计、贸易依存度、投资紧密度、出口相似度指数（ESI）与显示性比较优势指数（RCA），描述还原贸易真像后台湾产业最实际的竞争力，同时展示了台湾与亚太主要经济体真实的经贸关系，并通过 GTAP 模型预测台湾参与亚太区域经济一体化安排的效益差异。为台湾参与亚太区域经济一体提供了可行性路径，即深化 ECFA 效应与打造两岸四地“中华自贸区”整体参与。
아태구역경제합작신맹발전，태만여아태구역주요경제체유착밀절적경무련계，여과태만피배제재주요적구역경제협정여TPP여 RCEP지외，가능면림“산업련단렬”적엄중후과，저야성위태만심구삼여아태구역경제일체화안배적중요동력。문중채용최신적무역증가치수거（Value Add-ed），거제무역중복계산적폐단，재통과무역투자통계、무역의존도、투자긴밀도、출구상사도지수（ESI）여현시성비교우세지수（RCA），묘술환원무역진상후태만산업최실제적경쟁력，동시전시료태만여아태주요경제체진실적경무관계，병통과 GTAP 모형예측태만삼여아태구역경제일체화안배적효익차이。위태만삼여아태구역경제일체제공료가행성로경，즉심화 ECFA 효응여타조량안사지“중화자무구”정체삼여。
The economic cooperation in the Asia-Pacific area has been developing rapidly.Taiwan of China has a very close economic and trade relationship with the main economies in the Asia-Pacific area,which becomes the basic driving force for Taiwan to seek ways to participate in the regional integration arrangement.This paper discusses Taiwan＇s economic and trade relationships with the main economies in the Asia-Pacific area through the trade and investment statistics,the Dependence of Trade Index,the Investment Tightness Index,Export Similarity Index and Revealed Comparative Advantage Index.The paper also predicts the benefits for Taiwan＇s participating in the regional integration arrangement with the GTAP model.