CAJ | 학술논문

基于协整理论、格兰杰因果检验和EKC假说，考察了安徽省利用FDI发展经济背后的环境风险。研究结果显示：FDI和工业废气、工业固体废物均存在协整和因果关系，但无论在长期还是短期，FDI对工业废水排放的影响都不明显，这很大程度上取决于FDI在安徽省的行业分布状况。此外，样本期间安徽省不存在严格的“倒U”型EKC，工业废气和工业固体废物仍随着经济增长而不断增加，工业废水减排的管制效果明显，其与经济增长的关系呈“U＋倒U”型，而外资的流入则进一步加大了安徽省跨越EKC顶点的难度。
기우협정이론、격란걸인과검험화EKC가설，고찰료안휘성이용FDI발전경제배후적배경풍험。연구결과현시：FDI화공업폐기、공업고체폐물균존재협정화인과관계，단무론재장기환시단기，FDI대공업폐수배방적영향도불명현，저흔대정도상취결우FDI재안휘성적행업분포상황。차외，양본기간안휘성불존재엄격적“도U”형EKC，공업폐기화공업고체폐물잉수착경제증장이불단증가，공업폐수감배적관제효과명현，기여경제증장적관계정“U＋도U”형，이외자적류입칙진일보가대료안휘성과월EKC정점적난도。
Based on co-integration theory, Granger causality test and EKC hypothesis, this paper analyzes the environmental risk behind utiliza-tion of FDI for economic development in Anhui Province. The results show that whether in long-term or short-term, while the impact of FDI onthe discharge of industrial wastewater is not obvious, FDI causes a significant increase in industrial emissions and industrial solid waste, which de-pends largely on the industrial distribution of FDI in Anhui Province. Furthermore, there is no strict ＂inverted U＂ EKC in Anhui Province, industrial emissions and industrial solid waste fail to reduce with the economic growth, and relationship between industrial wastewater discharge and eco-nomic growth presents a ＂U＋ inverted U＂ type because of the productive curb. Finally, inflow of foreign capital making Anhui Province more last-ing in the rising segment of EKC.