西亚非洲
西亞非洲
서아비주
West Asia and Africa
2014年
4期
133~147
,共null页
政治重建利比亚 稳定 发展
政治重建利比亞 穩定 髮展
정치중건리비아 은정 발전
Political Rebuilding; Libya; Stability ; Development
政治重建是确立战后利比亚国家属性和发展定位的核心议题。卡扎菲政权垮台两年有余,利比亚政治重建进程却裹足不前、徘徊不定,仍处于初创和起步阶段。一方面,利比亚国内各地区(部落)以及不同政治势力之间在国家建构、制度安排和利益分割上缠斗不休,难以达成共识;另一方面,威权政权垮台和西方新干涉主义后的遗症效应,导致利比亚国内极端势力肆虐,社会动荡,经济衰退,安全形势持续恶化。利比亚战后重建取决于诸多因素,其中,建立政权的合法性、权威性和政治包容性是衡量政治重建进展的关键要素。由此看,利比亚政治重建与政治转型仍面临严峻挑战,前景充满变数。
政治重建是確立戰後利比亞國傢屬性和髮展定位的覈心議題。卡扎菲政權垮檯兩年有餘,利比亞政治重建進程卻裹足不前、徘佪不定,仍處于初創和起步階段。一方麵,利比亞國內各地區(部落)以及不同政治勢力之間在國傢建構、製度安排和利益分割上纏鬥不休,難以達成共識;另一方麵,威權政權垮檯和西方新榦涉主義後的遺癥效應,導緻利比亞國內極耑勢力肆虐,社會動盪,經濟衰退,安全形勢持續噁化。利比亞戰後重建取決于諸多因素,其中,建立政權的閤法性、權威性和政治包容性是衡量政治重建進展的關鍵要素。由此看,利比亞政治重建與政治轉型仍麵臨嚴峻挑戰,前景充滿變數。
정치중건시학립전후리비아국가속성화발전정위적핵심의제。잡찰비정권과태량년유여,리비아정치중건진정각과족불전、배회불정,잉처우초창화기보계단。일방면,리비아국내각지구(부락)이급불동정치세력지간재국가건구、제도안배화이익분할상전두불휴,난이체성공식;령일방면,위권정권과태화서방신간섭주의후적유증효응,도치리비아국내겁단세력사학,사회동탕,경제쇠퇴,안전형세지속악화。리비아전후중건취결우제다인소,기중,건립정권적합법성、권위성화정치포용성시형량정치중건진전적관건요소。유차간,리비아정치중건여정치전형잉면림엄준도전,전경충만변수。
Political reconstruction is the core issue to establish Libyan national identity and development orientation after the conflict. Over the two years since the fall of Gaddafi regime, the process of Libyan political reconstruction is still in preliminary stage without stepping forward. On the one hand, different regions (tribes) and political forces in Libya constantly compete with each other, and cannot reach a consensus on national construction, system arrangement and interest distribution. On the other hand, the collapse of authoritarian regime and new interventionism of Western countries bring aftereffects of raging domestic extreme forces, social unrest, economic recession and deteriorating security situation. Libyan reconstruction after the conflict depends on a variety of factors, among which regime legitimacy, authority establishment and inclusive politic are key factors to measure the process of political reconstruction. Therefore, the outlook of Libyan political reconstruction is dim, and the transformation of political system will be undergoing with uncertainties.