CAJ | 학술논문

借助衡量产业结构水平的三个指标，以浙江省2002—2012年面板数据为研究样本，运用协整理论就浙江省对外直接投资与产业结构升级关系进行了实证研究。研究结果表明，不同城市产业结构基础存在差异，杭州、宁波、舟山等城市高于全省平均水平，湖州、丽水、绍兴、台州等城市低于全省平均水平；浙江绝大部分城市对外直接投资对产业结构升级起到了促进作用，但舟山市却起到抑制作用；湖州、嘉兴、金华、绍兴等城市对外直接投资对产业结构升级的促进效果较大，杭州、宁波、衢州等城市相对较小。基于此，本文提出加大对“走出去”企业的扶持力度、鼓励和扶持中下游城市经济创新转型发展、继续发挥上游城市的引领作用等促进浙江省产业结构升级的政策建议。
차조형양산업결구수평적삼개지표，이절강성2002—2012년면판수거위연구양본，운용협정이론취절강성대외직접투자여산업결구승급관계진행료실증연구。연구결과표명，불동성시산업결구기출존재차이，항주、저파、주산등성시고우전성평균수평，호주、려수、소흥、태주등성시저우전성평균수평；절강절대부분성시대외직접투자대산업결구승급기도료촉진작용，단주산시각기도억제작용；호주、가흥、금화、소흥등성시대외직접투자대산업결구승급적촉진효과교대，항주、저파、구주등성시상대교소。기우차，본문제출가대대“주출거”기업적부지력도、고려화부지중하유성시경제창신전형발전、계속발휘상유성시적인령작용등촉진절강성산업결구승급적정책건의。
By using co-integration theory and the three indicators that measure the level of industrial structure, this paper takes the panel data of Zhejiang province from 2002 to 2012 as research sample for an empirical analysis concerning the influ- ence of OFDI on the industry structure upgrading. The results are ：（ 1 ） the base of industrial structure varies among different cities, which is above the average level in Hangzhou, Ningbo and Zhoushan but below the average level in Huzhou, Lishui, Shaoxing and Taizhou; （2） OFDI can effectively promote the upgrading of industrial structure across cities in Zhejiang prov- ince with the exception of Zhoushan where it plays an inhibitory role ; （3） the promotion effect of OFDI in upgrading the indus- trial structure is stronger in Huzhou, Jiaxing, Jinhua and Shaoxin but relatively weaker in Hangzhou, Ningbo and Quzhou. Based on the findings of this study, the paper proposes some strategic suggestions to promote industrial structure upgrading in Zhejiang province, which include increasing support to the ＂going out＂ enterprises, encouraging and supporting innovations and transformation of the middle and lower level cities, and making sure that the upper level cities continue to play a leading role in the upgrading endeavor.