CAJ | 학술논문

在市场经济条件下，交易价格作为商业周期运行中比较敏感的因素，在商业周期发展的不同阶段，交易价格存在不同的变动趋势。本文从计量模型的视角分析供给价格、需求价格、GNP的增长率及就业人数增长率等多元变量对商业周期各阶段交易价格的影响，对正确认知商业周期的本质，科学确定商品交易价格，促进市场经济有序运行具有重要的现实意义。
재시장경제조건하，교역개격작위상업주기운행중비교민감적인소，재상업주기발전적불동계단，교역개격존재불동적변동추세。본문종계량모형적시각분석공급개격、수구개격、GNP적증장솔급취업인수증장솔등다원변량대상업주기각계단교역개격적영향，대정학인지상업주기적본질，과학학정상품교역개격，촉진시장경제유서운행구유중요적현실의의。
Under the condition of market economy, the transaction price, as the sensitive factors of business cycle, has different trends in different stages of business cycle development. The impact of supply price, demand price, GNP growth rate and the growth rate of employment and other multiple variables on the transaction price of each stage of the business cycle is analyzed from the perspective of the econometric model, which has important practical significance on correctly understanding the business cycle, scientifically determining the goods price and promoting the orderly operation of market economy.