科技进步与对策
科技進步與對策
과기진보여대책
Science & Technology Progress and Policy
2014年
15期
53~58
,共null页
金融支持 战略性新兴产业 面板协整分析 面板格兰杰因果检验
金融支持 戰略性新興產業 麵闆協整分析 麵闆格蘭傑因果檢驗
금융지지 전략성신흥산업 면판협정분석 면판격란걸인과검험
Financial Support; Strategic Emerging Industries; Co-integration Analysis; Granger Test
金融作为现代经济的基础,在推动新兴产业发展方面发挥着核心支持作用。根据战略性新兴产业不同时期的特征,构建金融支持战略性新兴产业发展理论模型,结合面板格兰杰因果检验和协整分析方法,对我国金融支持与战略性新兴产业发展之间的关系进行实证分析。结果表明,金融支持对我国战略新兴产业发展具有促进作用,金融支持每增加1%,我国战略性新兴产业增值0.641%。在长期内,金融支持和我国战略性新兴产业发展存在双向格兰杰因果关系,而在短期内只存在金融支持与战略性新兴产业发展的单向格兰杰关系。在此基础上,提出金融促进我国未来战略
金融作為現代經濟的基礎,在推動新興產業髮展方麵髮揮著覈心支持作用。根據戰略性新興產業不同時期的特徵,構建金融支持戰略性新興產業髮展理論模型,結閤麵闆格蘭傑因果檢驗和協整分析方法,對我國金融支持與戰略性新興產業髮展之間的關繫進行實證分析。結果錶明,金融支持對我國戰略新興產業髮展具有促進作用,金融支持每增加1%,我國戰略性新興產業增值0.641%。在長期內,金融支持和我國戰略性新興產業髮展存在雙嚮格蘭傑因果關繫,而在短期內隻存在金融支持與戰略性新興產業髮展的單嚮格蘭傑關繫。在此基礎上,提齣金融促進我國未來戰略
금융작위현대경제적기출,재추동신흥산업발전방면발휘착핵심지지작용。근거전략성신흥산업불동시기적특정,구건금융지지전략성신흥산업발전이론모형,결합면판격란걸인과검험화협정분석방법,대아국금융지지여전략성신흥산업발전지간적관계진행실증분석。결과표명,금융지지대아국전략신흥산업발전구유촉진작용,금융지지매증가1%,아국전략성신흥산업증치0.641%。재장기내,금융지지화아국전략성신흥산업발전존재쌍향격란걸인과관계,이재단기내지존재금융지지여전략성신흥산업발전적단향격란걸관계。재차기출상,제출금융촉진아국미래전략
As a basis of modern economy, finance plays a significant supporting role in promoting the development of emerging industries. According to the characteristics of strategic emerging industries in different periods, this paper built a the-oretical model of financial support for the development of strategic emerging industries, and analyzed the relationship be-tween financial support and the development of strategic emerging industries by means of granger test and co-integration a-nalysis. The results show that the financial support can promote the development of strategic emerging industries in China.If financial support grows by 1%, the added value of Chinese strategic emerging industries will increase by 0.641%. In thelong term, there exists a two-way granger causality between financial support and the development of strategic emergingindustries in China. However, in the short term, there exists a one-way granger causality of financial support for the de-velopment of strategic emerging industries. Finally, this paper put forward suggestions for the financial support in promo-ting the development of emerging strategic industries in China.