当代经济管理
噹代經濟管理
당대경제관리
Contemporary Economic Management
2014年
4期
69~74
,共null页
工业碳排放 情景预测 节能减排潜力
工業碳排放 情景預測 節能減排潛力
공업탄배방 정경예측 절능감배잠력
industrial carbon emissions; scenario forecasts; energy-saving and emission-reduction potential
通过计算河北省工业能源终端消费的碳排放量, 对2015 年和2020 年工业CO2 排放的三种目标情景进行了预测.在此基础上, 根据河北省有关规划设定的目标, 分析了河北省六大高耗能行业的节能减排潜力, 指出这些行业分别处于不同的节能减排难度空间.最后, 根据各高耗能行业的节能减排难度, 设计了单边突破、渐进式提升、跨越式发展和自我提升等节能减排路径.
通過計算河北省工業能源終耑消費的碳排放量, 對2015 年和2020 年工業CO2 排放的三種目標情景進行瞭預測.在此基礎上, 根據河北省有關規劃設定的目標, 分析瞭河北省六大高耗能行業的節能減排潛力, 指齣這些行業分彆處于不同的節能減排難度空間.最後, 根據各高耗能行業的節能減排難度, 設計瞭單邊突破、漸進式提升、跨越式髮展和自我提升等節能減排路徑.
통과계산하북성공업능원종단소비적탄배방량, 대2015 년화2020 년공업CO2 배방적삼충목표정경진행료예측.재차기출상, 근거하북성유관규화설정적목표, 분석료하북성륙대고모능행업적절능감배잠력, 지출저사행업분별처우불동적절능감배난도공간.최후, 근거각고모능행업적절능감배난도, 설계료단변돌파、점진식제승、과월식발전화자아제승등절능감배로경.
By calculating the carbon emissions amount by the terminals of the industrial consumption in Hebei Province, the paper forecasted thethree-goal scenarios of the industrial carbon dioxide emissions in 2015 and 2010. On this basis, in accordance with the relevant development planin Hebei Province, the paper analyzed the energy-saving and emission-reduction potentials among the six high energy-consuming industries inHebei. It also pointed out that these industries are in different energy-saving and emission-reducing difficulty dimensions. Finally, according to thedifferent difficult levels of these industries in energy-saving and emission-reducing, the paper designed some different paths, including unilateralbreakthrough, gradual upgrade, leaping development and self-improvement.
