CAJ | 학술논문

通过对北京、上海、广州三个城市流动人口数据进行分析，运用多水平模型，在城市、区县、个体三个层级对离城意愿进行研究。结果表明：城市间的差异并不明显，发挥影响的主要在县（市、区）级，主体功能区对流动人口的离城意愿没有明显的作用，对居住环境或条件的不满不会导致流动人口离开所在的城市，与老家相比“当前是否更具有幸福感”对流动人口未来是否留在本地发挥着重要作用，最近两年来本市的流动人口对未来离城的看法并不稳定。
통과대북경、상해、엄주삼개성시류동인구수거진행분석，운용다수평모형，재성시、구현、개체삼개층급대리성의원진행연구。결과표명：성시간적차이병불명현，발휘영향적주요재현（시、구）급，주체공능구대류동인구적리성의원몰유명현적작용，대거주배경혹조건적불만불회도치류동인구리개소재적성시，여로가상비“당전시부경구유행복감”대류동인구미래시부류재본지발휘착중요작용，최근량년래본시적류동인구대미래리성적간법병불은정。
Based on the migrants＇ survey conducted in Beijing, Shanghai and Guangzhou, the paper takes an empirical research of migrants＇ wishes of leaving city in urban level, county level and individual level through multi-level model analysis. There are several findings as below; the gap of migrants＇ wishes of leaving city is not significant among the urban level, yet the main effect coming from the county level. The main functional region ruled by government has no siginificant impact on migrants＇ wish of leaving city. Bad or terrible living condition does not induce the migrants＇ wish of leaving city. The happiness of migrants comparing with that in hometown keeps a key role in the wish of leaving or staying the city. The wishes of new-coming migrants are fluctuated.