CAJ | 학술논문

本文以新兴产业演化为研究背景，重点研究了战略性新兴产业的演进过程和在经济系统中与其他产业的关系。根据目前战略性新兴产业的发展特点，将产业演化驱动因素分为内部因素和外部因素两大类，基于改进柯布一道格拉斯生产函数的产业模型，从技术、资本投资和劳动力投入3个方面对该模型进行了描述。仿真结果表明，战略性新兴产业的技术潜力和发展前景决定了其能否转化为未来的先导和支柱产业，战略性新兴产业的发展本质是技术的发展，且该产业的发展能够解决部分就业问题。
본문이신흥산업연화위연구배경，중점연구료전략성신흥산업적연진과정화재경제계통중여기타산업적관계。근거목전전략성신흥산업적발전특점，장산업연화구동인소분위내부인소화외부인소량대류，기우개진가포일도격랍사생산함수적산업모형，종기술、자본투자화노동력투입3개방면대해모형진행료묘술。방진결과표명，전략성신흥산업적기술잠력화발전전경결정료기능부전화위미래적선도화지주산업，전략성신흥산업적발전본질시기술적발전，차해산업적발전능구해결부분취업문제。
This paper takes the evolution of emerging industries as the background, and focus on the evolution of strategic emerging industries and its relationship to other induces in the economic system. On the basis of the recent development characteristic of emerging industries, driving factors of the industry evolution are divided into two large categories： internal and external factors. Based on the improved Cobb- Douglas production function model, we described it from three aspects： the technology, capital investment and labor input. Simulation results show that the strategic potential and prospects of new technologies determine whether it can turn to the pilot and pillar industry in the future. The essence d strategic emerging industries development is the technology development, and the development of strategic emerging industries can partly solve the employment problem.