系统工程理论与实践
繫統工程理論與實踐
계통공정이론여실천
Systems Engineering—Theory & Practice
2014年
8期
2135~2143
,共null页
杨浩雄 李金丹 张浩 刘淑芹
楊浩雄 李金丹 張浩 劉淑芹
양호웅 리금단 장호 류숙근
城市交通拥堵 居民出行 城市物流 系统动力学
城市交通擁堵 居民齣行 城市物流 繫統動力學
성시교통옹도 거민출행 성시물류 계통동역학
urban traffic jam; residents travel; urban logistics; system dynamics
近年来,我国城市交通供给和需求的矛盾在日益突出,城市交通拥堵问题越来越严重,除影响城市居民正常出行、导致环境污染加重外,严重影响了城市物流的正常运行,成为整个城市经济社会发展的制约因素.本文从城市交通拥堵这一现象入手,分析了交通拥堵的现状、原因、影响及其根源,从城市居民出行和城市物流两个角度总结了现有解决交通拥堵问题的对策,在此基础上结合我国的实际情况,用系统动力学的方法建立了治理城市交通拥堵的系统动力学模型,并以北京市为例,对北京市典型的治堵措施的实施效果进行了仿真分析,从而得出适合我国的解决城市交通拥堵的对策建议.
近年來,我國城市交通供給和需求的矛盾在日益突齣,城市交通擁堵問題越來越嚴重,除影響城市居民正常齣行、導緻環境汙染加重外,嚴重影響瞭城市物流的正常運行,成為整箇城市經濟社會髮展的製約因素.本文從城市交通擁堵這一現象入手,分析瞭交通擁堵的現狀、原因、影響及其根源,從城市居民齣行和城市物流兩箇角度總結瞭現有解決交通擁堵問題的對策,在此基礎上結閤我國的實際情況,用繫統動力學的方法建立瞭治理城市交通擁堵的繫統動力學模型,併以北京市為例,對北京市典型的治堵措施的實施效果進行瞭倣真分析,從而得齣適閤我國的解決城市交通擁堵的對策建議.
근년래,아국성시교통공급화수구적모순재일익돌출,성시교통옹도문제월래월엄중,제영향성시거민정상출행、도치배경오염가중외,엄중영향료성시물류적정상운행,성위정개성시경제사회발전적제약인소.본문종성시교통옹도저일현상입수,분석료교통옹도적현상、원인、영향급기근원,종성시거민출행화성시물류량개각도총결료현유해결교통옹도문제적대책,재차기출상결합아국적실제정황,용계통동역학적방법건립료치리성시교통옹도적계통동역학모형,병이북경시위례,대북경시전형적치도조시적실시효과진행료방진분석,종이득출괄합아국적해결성시교통옹도적대책건의.
In recent years, contradiction between supply and denland of urban transport of China is increasingly prominent, and urban traffic jam is getting more and more grave, seriously impact urban residents' normal travel, cause environmental pollution, as well as seriously impact normal operation of urban logistics and become development constraints of the whole city economy. This paper starts with phenomenon of urban traffic jam, and analyzes the present situation, the reasons, tile effect and the root of urban traffic jam, and summaries the existing measures for the governance of urban traffic jam from the perspective of urban residents travel and urban logistics. On the basis of summarizing the plugging measures as well as considering the actual situation of our country, this paper establishes the system dynamics model of the management of urban traffic jam with the method of systeln dynamics. In the last place, this paper takes Beijing as ail example, simulates the effect of the typical plugging nleasures in Beijing, and reaches the suggestions for China to solve urban traffic jam.