CAJ | 학술논문

在低碳经济背景下，节能减排影响了中国碳密集型行业的出口贸易吗？运用引力模型和2000-2010年面板数据，检验了CO2，排放强度衡量的环境规制对中国碳密集型行业出口贸易的影响。结论如下：中国环境规制对中国碳密集型行业的出口贸易有着明显的负影响，中国存在显著的污染避难所效应。从单个行业看，除石油加工业外，金属冶炼业、机械设备制造业、化学工业、金属制品业、非金属矿物制品业都受到了较大的负面影响。因此，中国应实行适度严格的环境规制，不能轻易对外承诺较大幅度的碳减排责任；而各行业必须立足长远，加强技术创新，提高国际竞争力。
재저탄경제배경하，절능감배영향료중국탄밀집형행업적출구무역마？운용인력모형화2000-2010년면판수거，검험료CO2，배방강도형량적배경규제대중국탄밀집형행업출구무역적영향。결론여하：중국배경규제대중국탄밀집형행업적출구무역유착명현적부영향，중국존재현저적오염피난소효응。종단개행업간，제석유가공업외，금속야련업、궤계설비제조업、화학공업、금속제품업、비금속광물제품업도수도료교대적부면영향。인차，중국응실행괄도엄격적배경규제，불능경역대외승낙교대폭도적탄감배책임；이각행업필수립족장원，가강기술창신，제고국제경쟁력。
In the background of low carbon economy, does energy saving and emission reducing exert an influence onChina＇s exports of carbon intensive industries？ Using the gravity model and the panel data from 2000-2010, this paperexamines the impact of environmental regulations measured by CO2 emission intensity on China＇s exports of carbonintensive industries. The conclusions are as follows： Chinese environmental regulations exert a significant negativeinfluence on China＇s exports of carbon intensive industries, a significant pollution haven effect is found in China. Eachindustry has been influenced greatly by environmental regulations except for petroleum processing industry, metalsmelting industry, machinery and equipment manufacturing, etc.. Therefore, China should implement moderate strictenvironmental regulations, and it cannot easily to promise substantial carbon reduction. The industry must be based on along-term, strengthened technology innovation and improved international competition ability.