CAJ | 학술논문

由农村向城市的劳动力流动在促进了城镇化的同时，对经济发展也产生了深远的影响。本文综合利用多个具有全国代表性的数据库，实证分析了进一步促进劳动力流动对经济发展的影响。结果表明，劳动力流动有利于扩大劳动力市场规模和提高城市经济的全要素生产率，尽管对资本产出比和工作时间有负面影响，但劳动力流动带来的净收益非常可观。根据本研究的回归结果，全面深化户籍制度改革将在未来几年内为中国的经济发展带来明显的收益。这也就意味着，在推进全面户籍制度改革中仅仅考量户籍制度改革所要付出的成本，而忽略其带来的巨大收益，可能会在实践中制约改革的进程。
유농촌향성시적노동력류동재촉진료성진화적동시，대경제발전야산생료심원적영향。본문종합이용다개구유전국대표성적수거고，실증분석료진일보촉진노동력류동대경제발전적영향。결과표명，노동력류동유리우확대노동력시장규모화제고성시경제적전요소생산솔，진관대자본산출비화공작시간유부면영향，단노동력류동대래적정수익비상가관。근거본연구적회귀결과，전면심화호적제도개혁장재미래궤년내위중국적경제발전대래명현적수익。저야취의미착，재추진전면호적제도개혁중부부고량호적제도개혁소요부출적성본，이홀략기대래적거대수익，가능회재실천중제약개혁적진정。
As a driver of urbanization, the rural to urban migration in China has contributed to economic growth in the past decades. This paper empirically analyzes the impacts of further labor mobility on economic development by using several national representative datasets. The results indicate that further migration would facilitate to increase the size of labor market and enhance the TFP. Although it might be negatively associated with the ratio of capital to output and working hours, the net benefits would be substantial. Comprehensive reforms on hukou system will benefit China significantly, which implies that, without recognition of the benefits, concerns about the costs hukou reforms entail could impede the process of the reforms in practice.