CAJ | 학술논문

基于2000-2011年间的中国省际面板数据，运用数据包络分析方法中的BCC模型，将资本存量、劳动力数量、财政支出与区位条件作为投入要素，将城市化水平作为产出要素，测算各省区的城市化效率，并探讨其与区域经济增长的相关性。研究结果表明：我国西部的城市化效率较高，东部地区次高，中部地区城市化效率最低；我国各省份城市化的技术效率较低，而规模效率较高；城市化效率对区域经济增长有很强的正向效应，其中东西部地区城市化效率对经济的拉动力较强，而中部地区相对较弱。因此，中国各省区应努力发挥城市化的集聚效应与辐射效应，通过提高城市化效率来促进经济发展。
기우2000-2011년간적중국성제면판수거，운용수거포락분석방법중적BCC모형，장자본존량、노동력수량、재정지출여구위조건작위투입요소，장성시화수평작위산출요소，측산각성구적성시화효솔，병탐토기여구역경제증장적상관성。연구결과표명：아국서부적성시화효솔교고，동부지구차고，중부지구성시화효솔최저；아국각성빈성시화적기술효솔교저，이규모효솔교고；성시화효솔대구역경제증장유흔강적정향효응，기중동서부지구성시화효솔대경제적랍동력교강，이중부지구상대교약。인차，중국각성구응노력발휘성시화적집취효응여복사효응，통과제고성시화효솔래촉진경제발전。
In the process of exploring of natural law, causality always plays very important role. With analysis of time series and spatial data retrieving, this essay quantifies the gener al qualitative conclusion of ＂urban sprawl lead to urban heat island effect＂. It shows that, in the aspect of time, urban heat island effect and urban sprawl has a long - term equilibrium relationship but has a short - term fluctuation, and the long - term elasticity is greater than short - term elasticity after the analyses with co - integration test and error correction model. It means that accumulation effect of urban heat island effect is apparent. And urban sprawl is the Granger cause of urban heat island effect in short - term but not in long - term after a causality test. Combining analysis of impulse response and the characteristic of city construction in China, this essay judges that the dividing point of long - term and short - term is about 4 - 5 years, this phase fit to the five - year plan in China and the growth period of vegetation chose for urban greening.