CAJ | 학술논문

本文通过梳理国内外相关文献，以2004～2012年东部地区12省市规模以上工业数据为样本，采用灰色关联分析方法，考察了东部地区在对外直接投资（OFDI）迅速发展和亟需产业结构升级的双重背景下，其对外直接投资是否产生产业空心化效应。实证分析发现，固定资产投资价格指数和原材料燃料动力购进价格指数对规模空心化和效率空心化影响显著，OFDI存量并不是影响规模空心化和效率空心化的最主要因素；但不同地区OFDI存量规模的大小不同，因此OFDI存量指数对规模空心化的影响也会有所不同；不同地区的对外直接投资发展达到一定规模且水平相当的条件下，原有的产业结构不同会影响OFDI存量指数对效率空心化的影响。
본문통과소리국내외상관문헌，이2004～2012년동부지구12성시규모이상공업수거위양본，채용회색관련분석방법，고찰료동부지구재대외직접투자（OFDI）신속발전화극수산업결구승급적쌍중배경하，기대외직접투자시부산생산업공심화효응。실증분석발현，고정자산투자개격지수화원재료연료동력구진개격지수대규모공심화화효솔공심화영향현저，OFDI존량병불시영향규모공심화화효솔공심화적최주요인소；단불동지구OFDI존량규모적대소불동，인차OFDI존량지수대규모공심화적영향야회유소불동；불동지구적대외직접투자발전체도일정규모차수평상당적조건하，원유적산업결구불동회영향OFDI존량지수대효솔공심화적영향。
Abstract：Through literature reviews,taking industrial data of eastern China from 2004 to 2012 as samples, using the grey correlation analysis, this paper studies the industrial hollowing-out effect of outward foreign direct investment （OFDI） with the background that eastern provinces are facing rapidly increased OFDI and the stress on industrial restructuring and upgrading. The empirical results show the price indices of investment in fixed assets and the price indices of purchase in raw materials,fuel and power are the main factors influencing the scale hollowing-out and efficiency hollowing-out, while the OFDI stock seems not as important as those two factors. OFDI has not resulted in industrial hollowing out yet, while the influence on scale hollowing-out of OFDI stock varies in different oped, the greater the influence on scale hollowing-out of OFDI provinces. It has been found that the more OFDI is devel- stock would be. Meanwhile, if the provinces have similar OFDI but different industrial structures,the influence on efficiency hollowing-out of OFDI stock will be various