CAJ | 학술논문

技术复杂度是出口影响经济增长的一个新途径。本文采用Hausmann等（2007）的方法，从整体上、不同贸易方式、不同企业性质等方面测算了2000—2010年我国出口技术复杂度的发展变化，并构建经济增长模型分析了出口技术复杂度对我国经济增长的影响。结果显示：我国整体的出口技术复杂度相对较高，外资企业加工贸易出口在四类出口中最高；出口技术复杂度对我国经济增长具有显著的正向影响，但主要是通过一般贸易出口实现。此外，基于面板分位数回归的进一步分析还表明：出口技术复杂度与经济增长之间存在相互增强效应。这些结论为当前我国外贸结构调整以及稳定经济增长提供了一些重要参考。
기술복잡도시출구영향경제증장적일개신도경。본문채용Hausmann등（2007）적방법，종정체상、불동무역방식、불동기업성질등방면측산료2000—2010년아국출구기술복잡도적발전변화，병구건경제증장모형분석료출구기술복잡도대아국경제증장적영향。결과현시：아국정체적출구기술복잡도상대교고，외자기업가공무역출구재사류출구중최고；출구기술복잡도대아국경제증장구유현저적정향영향，단주요시통과일반무역출구실현。차외，기우면판분위수회귀적진일보분석환표명：출구기술복잡도여경제증장지간존재상호증강효응。저사결론위당전아국외무결구조정이급은정경제증장제공료일사중요삼고。
Sophistication is a new path through which export affects economic growth. Based on the method proposed by Hausmann et al. （2007）, this paper assesses the development of China＇s export sophistication during 2000-2010 from the general scenario, as well as from the aspects of different modes of trade and different enterprise properties. Also, the effect of export sophistication on China＇s economic growth is analyzed through constructing an economic growth model. The results indicate that China＇s overall export sophistication is relatively high, and that of foreign-funded and processing enterprises is the highest. Export sophistication has a positive effeet on China＇s economic growth, while the effect is mainly achieved through general trade export. Moreover, the analysis based on panel quantile regression finds out that there is a mutual reinforcing effect between export sophistication and economic growth. The conclusions in this paper are expected to provide some credible reference for the adjustment of foreign trade policies and the stabilization of current economic growth in China.