CAJ | 학술논문

在考察经济波动的特征事实的基础上,将能源价格引入到不可分劳动的RBC模型中,通过对模型的校准和模拟,可验证模型对现实经济的解释力度。通过建立技术冲击与能源价格冲击的脉冲响应函数,分析技术冲击与能源价格冲击对经济的影响程度。通过分析,得出结论：一是能源价格对产出具有抑制作用,并且会加速通货膨胀,但是对于通货膨胀的推动作用具有滞后性;二是引入能源价格冲击的不可分劳动的RBC模型能够较好地解释产出和消费的波动;三是技术冲击和能源价格冲击都会引起经济的波动,技术冲击的强度要大于能源价格冲击,但是能源价格冲击对于经济波动的作用具有长期性。
재고찰경제파동적특정사실적기출상,장능원개격인입도불가분노동적RBC모형중,통과대모형적교준화모의,가험증모형대현실경제적해석력도。통과건립기술충격여능원개격충격적맥충향응함수,분석기술충격여능원개격충격대경제적영향정도。통과분석,득출결론：일시능원개격대산출구유억제작용,병차회가속통화팽창,단시대우통화팽창적추동작용구유체후성;이시인입능원개격충격적불가분노동적RBC모형능구교호지해석산출화소비적파동;삼시기술충격화능원개격충격도회인기경제적파동,기술충격적강도요대우능원개격충격,단시능원개격충격대우경제파동적작용구유장기성。
Based on the characteristics of the economic fluctuation, the price of energy is introduced into the indivisible labor RBC model to verify realistic explanation of the economy through the calibration and simulation of the model. Through establishing impulse response function to the technology shocks and the energy price shock, the article analyzed the impacts of technology shocks and energy price shocks on the economy. Through the analysis, the article draw three following conclusions. The first one is that the price of energy has inhibitory effect on output, and accelerating effect on inflation which has the lag characteristics on inflation. The second one is that the introduction of the indivisible labor model of RBC energy price shocks can well explain the output and consumption fluctuations, The third conclusion is that the technology shock and energy price shocks can cause fluctuations in the economy, and the strength of technology shock is greater than that of the energy price shocks, but the energy price shocks have a long-term effect on economic fluctuation.