CAJ | 학술논문

鉴于我国与东盟水产品的双边贸易额、增长率、市场分布及贸易种类等特点，本文运用修正后的恒定市场份额模型（CMS），对中国与东盟水产品进出口贸易的增长因素进行因素分解和效果分析，认为竞争力因素在中国向东盟出口水产品贸易额增长中发挥了主要效用，其次是需求规模效应，而出口结构的贡献率极低，尤其是产品结构亟需改进；产品需求规模在东盟出口水产品时起到了主要的拉动作用，东盟出口水产品的种类结构适应中国市场是次要推动原因，而竞争力的贡献相对较低。
감우아국여동맹수산품적쌍변무역액、증장솔、시장분포급무역충류등특점，본문운용수정후적항정시장빈액모형（CMS），대중국여동맹수산품진출구무역적증장인소진행인소분해화효과분석，인위경쟁력인소재중국향동맹출구수산품무역액증장중발휘료주요효용，기차시수구규모효응，이출구결구적공헌솔겁저，우기시산품결구극수개진；산품수구규모재동맹출구수산품시기도료주요적랍동작용，동맹출구수산품적충류결구괄응중국시장시차요추동원인，이경쟁력적공헌상대교저。
Based on the characteristics of bilateral trading volume , market distribution and trade species of aquatic prod-ucts between China and ASEAN , the article adopts modified Constant Market Share model （ CMS） to disintegrate inner factors and analyze effective one within bilateral aquatic trade growth .it is concluded that competitiveness factor has played a major utility in the Chinese export aquatic to ASEAN trade growth , followed by the demand scale , and the con-tribution rate of the export structure is very low , especially the export product structure;in China′s imports from ASEAN, demand scale boosts trade growth , the structure of aquatic species adapting to the Chinese market is a secondary reason for promotion, and a relatively low contribution factor comes from competitiveness .