人口研究
人口研究
인구연구
Population Research
2014年
5期
87~106
,共null页
蓝嘉俊 魏下海 吴超林
藍嘉俊 魏下海 吳超林
람가준 위하해 오초림
收入不平等 人口老龄化 老年抚养比 少儿抚养比
收入不平等 人口老齡化 老年撫養比 少兒撫養比
수입불평등 인구노령화 노년무양비 소인무양비
Income Inequalily, Population Aging, Old- age Dependency Ratio, Child DependencyRatio
老龄化与收入不平等是当今世界两个突出现象,老龄化是否为解释收入不平等变化的一支重要力量?文章利用跨国面板数据实证考察老龄化对收入不平等的影响。全样本估计结果表明,老龄化会显著地拉大收入不平等,这种影响主要来自顶部老龄化而非底部老龄化的有力推动。对老龄化作用异质性研究发现,对于收入水平较高或者老龄化水平较高的国家,老龄化对收入不平等的促进作用更大。这意味着,老龄化对收入不平等的影响是随着经济发展阶段性变化而逐渐释放的。在考虑更多的控制变量、内生性问题以及异常样本点影响之后,上述结论依然稳健。研究基于跨国数据获得的经验发现,能够为当今中国应对日益严峻的老龄化和收入分配问题提供新的政策洞见。
老齡化與收入不平等是噹今世界兩箇突齣現象,老齡化是否為解釋收入不平等變化的一支重要力量?文章利用跨國麵闆數據實證攷察老齡化對收入不平等的影響。全樣本估計結果錶明,老齡化會顯著地拉大收入不平等,這種影響主要來自頂部老齡化而非底部老齡化的有力推動。對老齡化作用異質性研究髮現,對于收入水平較高或者老齡化水平較高的國傢,老齡化對收入不平等的促進作用更大。這意味著,老齡化對收入不平等的影響是隨著經濟髮展階段性變化而逐漸釋放的。在攷慮更多的控製變量、內生性問題以及異常樣本點影響之後,上述結論依然穩健。研究基于跨國數據穫得的經驗髮現,能夠為噹今中國應對日益嚴峻的老齡化和收入分配問題提供新的政策洞見。
노령화여수입불평등시당금세계량개돌출현상,노령화시부위해석수입불평등변화적일지중요역량?문장이용과국면판수거실증고찰노령화대수입불평등적영향。전양본고계결과표명,노령화회현저지랍대수입불평등,저충영향주요래자정부노령화이비저부노령화적유력추동。대노령화작용이질성연구발현,대우수입수평교고혹자노령화수평교고적국가,노령화대수입불평등적촉진작용경대。저의미착,노령화대수입불평등적영향시수착경제발전계단성변화이축점석방적。재고필경다적공제변량、내생성문제이급이상양본점영향지후,상술결론의연은건。연구기우과국수거획득적경험발현,능구위당금중국응대일익엄준적노령화화수입분배문제제공신적정책동견。
Population aging and income inequality are two prominent phenomena across the world. Is aging one of the most important factors influencing income inequality? This paper presents empirical evidence on the effect of population aging on income inequality, using a panel dataset from 76 countries and regions from 1970 and 2011. The empirical results show that population aging does in- crease income inequality significantly. Moreover, this impact is mainly from top - aging rather than bot- tom - aging. Population aging also has a greater impact on income inequality in those countries having higher income levels and higher levels of aging. Impact of population aging on income inequality varies with the stages of economic development. The results are robust when several control variables are added in the model as well as potential endogenous problems and abnormal sample points are con- sidered.