CAJ | 학술논문

采用GTAP8．0模拟欧盟、美国、日本分别和同时征收碳关税时对世界经济和产品贸易的影响。结果表明，碳关税将对世界经济均衡增长产生负面影响，受影响最大的是中国、金砖国家和东盟国家；碳关税将改变世界贸易结构和贸易利益格局，发达国家受益、发展中国家受损；碳关税将使世界农产品出1：2总额小幅下降，但对改善世界农产品贸易结构具有积极作用。
채용GTAP8．0모의구맹、미국、일본분별화동시정수탄관세시대세계경제화산품무역적영향。결과표명，탄관세장대세계경제균형증장산생부면영향，수영향최대적시중국、금전국가화동맹국가；탄관세장개변세계무역결구화무역이익격국，발체국가수익、발전중국가수손；탄관세장사세계농산품출1：2총액소폭하강，단대개선세계농산품무역결구구유적겁작용。
By adopting GTAP 8.0, this paper simulates the effects of carbon tariffs on the world economy and agri-trade when the EU, US and Japan impose carbon tariffs independently and simultaneously. The results indicate that. carbon tariffs will generate a negative impact on the balanced growth of the world economy; China, the BRIC and ASEAN are the most affected countries; carbon tariffs will change the existing benefit patterns of world trade, and the tax levying developed countries will win while developing countries will lose; Carbon tariffs will shrink the total world agricultural exports by a small margin, but play a positive role in improving the world agri-trade structure.