CAJ | 학술논문

运用多项式模型对长江上游地区工业三废污染进行EKc检验，并借助Logistic模型分析EKC拐点的时间路径，同时对污染的影响因素作面板数据多元回归分析。研究发现：污染指标的选取不同，工业污染与人均GDP的关系也不同，废水排放量、废气排放量、固体废弃物产生量、三废综合值与人均GDP分别是倒N型、倒N型、直线型、倒N型的曲线关系；不同曲线拐点对应的人均GDP、到达时间各不相同；长江上游地区三废减排难度也不等同。因此，政府应因地制宜，针对性地加大污染治理力度，优化产业结构，发展循环经济，实现环境与经济的良性互动。
운용다항식모형대장강상유지구공업삼폐오염진행EKc검험，병차조Logistic모형분석EKC괴점적시간로경，동시대오염적영향인소작면판수거다원회귀분석。연구발현：오염지표적선취불동，공업오염여인균GDP적관계야불동，폐수배방량、폐기배방량、고체폐기물산생량、삼폐종합치여인균GDP분별시도N형、도N형、직선형、도N형적곡선관계；불동곡선괴점대응적인균GDP、도체시간각불상동；장강상유지구삼폐감배난도야불등동。인차，정부응인지제의，침대성지가대오염치리력도，우화산업결구，발전순배경제，실현배경여경제적량성호동。
This paper uses the polynomial model to perform EKC test on the industry waste of the upper Yangtze River, uses the Logistic model to analyze the time path of EKC inflection point, and analyzes influence of the pollution causations through the panel data regression model. The study found that： when different pollution indexes were selected, the relationship between industrial pollution and per capita GDP is different; different curve has a different inflexion point, and the arrival time is also different; the upper Yangtze River provinces＇ waste reduction difficulty is not the same. Therefore, the government should adapt it＇s measures to local conditions, strengthen pollution control, optimize the industrial structure, develop recycling economy, so that being interoction between the environment and economy can be realizedcan realize the benign interaction between the environment and economy.