重庆理工大学学报:社会科学版
重慶理工大學學報:社會科學版
중경리공대학학보:사회과학판
Journal of Chongqing Institute of Technology
2014年
8期
24~29
,共null页
FDI 出口贸易结构 实证分析 误差修正
FDI 齣口貿易結構 實證分析 誤差脩正
FDI 출구무역결구 실증분석 오차수정
FDI;export trade structure;empirical analysis;error correction
重庆市自直辖以来,进出口贸易总额呈加速上升的趋势。伴随着重庆市对外贸易规模的高速增长,外商直接投资也逐年递增。因此,研究FDI的变动对重庆市出口贸易结构的影响,具有一定的现实意义。本文主要通过回顾FDI与对外贸易相关理论,结合重庆市利用FDI与出口贸易结构的现状,利用1990-2012年度重庆的FDI 及对外贸易数据,通过构建模型,运用单位根检验、协整检验及误差修成模型对FDI与重庆市出口贸易结构关系进行了实证分析。结果表明,FDI对出口贸易总额和出口贸易结构的优化影响是显著的,提出了相关的政策建议。
重慶市自直轄以來,進齣口貿易總額呈加速上升的趨勢。伴隨著重慶市對外貿易規模的高速增長,外商直接投資也逐年遞增。因此,研究FDI的變動對重慶市齣口貿易結構的影響,具有一定的現實意義。本文主要通過迴顧FDI與對外貿易相關理論,結閤重慶市利用FDI與齣口貿易結構的現狀,利用1990-2012年度重慶的FDI 及對外貿易數據,通過構建模型,運用單位根檢驗、協整檢驗及誤差脩成模型對FDI與重慶市齣口貿易結構關繫進行瞭實證分析。結果錶明,FDI對齣口貿易總額和齣口貿易結構的優化影響是顯著的,提齣瞭相關的政策建議。
중경시자직할이래,진출구무역총액정가속상승적추세。반수착중경시대외무역규모적고속증장,외상직접투자야축년체증。인차,연구FDI적변동대중경시출구무역결구적영향,구유일정적현실의의。본문주요통과회고FDI여대외무역상관이론,결합중경시이용FDI여출구무역결구적현상,이용1990-2012년도중경적FDI 급대외무역수거,통과구건모형,운용단위근검험、협정검험급오차수성모형대FDI여중경시출구무역결구관계진행료실증분석。결과표명,FDI대출구무역총액화출구무역결구적우화영향시현저적,제출료상관적정책건의。
Since Chongqing became a municipality,Chongqing’s total volume of import and export trade has seen rapid growth.Along with the rapid growth of foreign trade scale in Chongqing,FDI is also increasing year by year.Therefore,to study the effects of FDI’s changes on export trade struc-ture in Chongqing,has a certain practical significance.This paper based on the retrospect to the cor-relation theory about foreign trade,combined with taking advantage of FDI and the present situation of the export trade structure in Chongqing,and then though the test of unit root,cointegration,the error correction model to data from 1990 to 2012,we have done empirical analysis on the relationship be-tween FDI and export trade structure in Chongqing.The result indicates that FDI does act as stimula-tors to the export trade structure optimization.Finally,according to the conclusion of analysis,we put forward the relevant policy recommendations.