商业研究
商業研究
상업연구
Commercial Research
2014年
11期
47~54
,共null页
城乡居民收入 居民旅游花费 影响机制 差异分析
城鄉居民收入 居民旅遊花費 影響機製 差異分析
성향거민수입 거민여유화비 영향궤제 차이분석
income of urban and rural residents;residents′tourism consumption;influence mechanism;difference analysis
基于计量经济学方法,本文从城乡居民收入与旅游消费数据稳定性与因果关系、城乡居民收入与旅游花费水平回归分析等方面,分析了中国城乡居民收入对旅游消费的影响。研究结果表明:收入水平与旅游边际消费倾向对城乡居民旅游花费影响差异明显,提升城镇居民旅游边际消费倾向与农村居民纯收入水平,是提升我国城乡居民旅游总花费的关键;城乡居民旅游消费对收入过度敏感性均过低,应采取有效措施降低城乡居民在食品、住房、医疗、教育等方面的消费支出,改善城乡居民旅游消费对收入的过度敏感性,促进旅游消费水平提升;城乡居民收入结构对城乡居民旅游花费影响具有较大差异,在城乡居民收入翻番背景下,城乡居民、尤其是农村居民旅游消费水平将得到大幅度提升,并将在国民经济增长中发挥重要作用。
基于計量經濟學方法,本文從城鄉居民收入與旅遊消費數據穩定性與因果關繫、城鄉居民收入與旅遊花費水平迴歸分析等方麵,分析瞭中國城鄉居民收入對旅遊消費的影響。研究結果錶明:收入水平與旅遊邊際消費傾嚮對城鄉居民旅遊花費影響差異明顯,提升城鎮居民旅遊邊際消費傾嚮與農村居民純收入水平,是提升我國城鄉居民旅遊總花費的關鍵;城鄉居民旅遊消費對收入過度敏感性均過低,應採取有效措施降低城鄉居民在食品、住房、醫療、教育等方麵的消費支齣,改善城鄉居民旅遊消費對收入的過度敏感性,促進旅遊消費水平提升;城鄉居民收入結構對城鄉居民旅遊花費影響具有較大差異,在城鄉居民收入翻番揹景下,城鄉居民、尤其是農村居民旅遊消費水平將得到大幅度提升,併將在國民經濟增長中髮揮重要作用。
기우계량경제학방법,본문종성향거민수입여여유소비수거은정성여인과관계、성향거민수입여여유화비수평회귀분석등방면,분석료중국성향거민수입대여유소비적영향。연구결과표명:수입수평여여유변제소비경향대성향거민여유화비영향차이명현,제승성진거민여유변제소비경향여농촌거민순수입수평,시제승아국성향거민여유총화비적관건;성향거민여유소비대수입과도민감성균과저,응채취유효조시강저성향거민재식품、주방、의료、교육등방면적소비지출,개선성향거민여유소비대수입적과도민감성,촉진여유소비수평제승;성향거민수입결구대성향거민여유화비영향구유교대차이,재성향거민수입번번배경하,성향거민、우기시농촌거민여유소비수평장득도대폭도제승,병장재국민경제증장중발휘중요작용。
Based on the econometric method , the paper analyzes the influence mechanism of income of Chinese urban and rural residents on tourism consumption and difference from the aspects of data stability and causality , as well as horizontal regression analysis .The results show that: the influence of income level and the marginal propensity of tourism consumption on urban and rural residents′tourism consumption is obvious , to promote urban residents′tourism marginal propensity of consumption and the rural residents′income level are the key to promoting urban and rural residents′total tourism consumption in China;the urban and rural residents′tourism consumption for the income of excessive sensitivity is too weak, we should take effective measures to reduce the urban and rural residents′food, housing, medical care, education and other living expenses , improve the income of urban and rural residents′tourism consumption sensitivity level to promote the level of tourism consumption; the influence of urban and rural residents′income structure on urban and rural residents′tourism consumption has larger differences , urban and rural residents , especially the tourism consumption level of rural residents will improve significantly , and will play an important role in the national economic growth under the background of urban and rural residents income doubled .