湖南师范大学社会科学学报
湖南師範大學社會科學學報
호남사범대학사회과학학보
Journal of Social Science of Hunan Normal University
2014年
6期
78~85
,共null页
人口结构 居民消费 抚养比
人口結構 居民消費 撫養比
인구결구 거민소비 무양비
population structure; consumption of residents; dependency ratio
通过收集1995-2011年的省级面板数据,分城乡、区域来研究人口结构对居民消费的影响。实证研究结果表明：老年抚养比上升会导致居民消费率下降,其对中部地区消费的抑制作用高于东西部地区;城镇地区少儿抚养比的下降会导致居民消费率上升,其对东部地区消费的促进作用最大;而农村地区少儿抚养比的下降则会导致居民消费率下降。此外,性别比对居民消费率的影响不显著。
通過收集1995-2011年的省級麵闆數據,分城鄉、區域來研究人口結構對居民消費的影響。實證研究結果錶明：老年撫養比上升會導緻居民消費率下降,其對中部地區消費的抑製作用高于東西部地區;城鎮地區少兒撫養比的下降會導緻居民消費率上升,其對東部地區消費的促進作用最大;而農村地區少兒撫養比的下降則會導緻居民消費率下降。此外,性彆比對居民消費率的影響不顯著。
통과수집1995-2011년적성급면판수거,분성향、구역래연구인구결구대거민소비적영향。실증연구결과표명：노년무양비상승회도치거민소비솔하강,기대중부지구소비적억제작용고우동서부지구;성진지구소인무양비적하강회도치거민소비솔상승,기대동부지구소비적촉진작용최대;이농촌지구소인무양비적하강칙회도치거민소비솔하강。차외,성별비대거민소비솔적영향불현저。
We collected the provincial panel data fxom 1995 to 2011 and conducted an empirical analysis in distin- guishing the districts of urban and rural areas. The conclusion shows that the elderly dependency ratio has a negative im- pact of consumption rate of residents. The adverse effect induced by aging in central area is more serious than the east- em and western area. In the urban area, the positive effect induced by the decline of youth dependency ratio in eastern area is the highest. However, the youth dependency ratio of rural has a positive impact on the consumption rate of resi- dents. Besides, we found that sex ratio has no relation to the consumption rate of residents.
