中国海洋大学学报:社会科学版
中國海洋大學學報:社會科學版
중국해양대학학보:사회과학판
Journal of Ocean University of China
2014年
4期
55~60
,共null页
游桂云 吕方钊 赵智慧
遊桂雲 呂方釗 趙智慧
유계운 려방쇠 조지혜
出口信用保险 出口贸易 面板向量自回归模型 脉冲响应
齣口信用保險 齣口貿易 麵闆嚮量自迴歸模型 脈遲響應
출구신용보험 출구무역 면판향량자회귀모형 맥충향응
export credit insurance;export trade;PVAR;impulse response
利用沿海经济圈省际面板数据作为样本,使用面板向量自回归模型研究了出口信用保险与出口贸易的动态关系。研究发现:出口信用保险在短期内能促进出口贸易,长期内不具有持续效应;出口贸易提高出口信用保险需求水平的能力有限。两者呈现出非对等关系,出现这一现象的主要原因是保险费率垄断。
利用沿海經濟圈省際麵闆數據作為樣本,使用麵闆嚮量自迴歸模型研究瞭齣口信用保險與齣口貿易的動態關繫。研究髮現:齣口信用保險在短期內能促進齣口貿易,長期內不具有持續效應;齣口貿易提高齣口信用保險需求水平的能力有限。兩者呈現齣非對等關繫,齣現這一現象的主要原因是保險費率壟斷。
이용연해경제권성제면판수거작위양본,사용면판향량자회귀모형연구료출구신용보험여출구무역적동태관계。연구발현:출구신용보험재단기내능촉진출구무역,장기내불구유지속효응;출구무역제고출구신용보험수구수평적능력유한。량자정현출비대등관계,출현저일현상적주요원인시보험비솔롱단。
This paper investigated the dynamic relation between export credit insurance and export trade by using the model of PVAR based on the provincial panel data of the coastal economic circle as sam-ples .T he empirical results show that export credit insurance can promote export trade in the short term w hile it has no long -term effect ,and that the ability of export trade to improve the export credit insur-ance is limited .There is a non-reciprocal relationship between export credit insurance and export trade , w hich is caused by the insurance rate monopoly .