CAJ | 학술논문

加快发展体育事业，促进体育消费推动大众健身是当前国家的一项重要决策。体育事业财政拨款对这一决策起着举足轻重的作用。本文基于1977-2008年中央和地方对体育事业的财政拨款金额的数据，运用向量自回归模型（VAR）实证分析中央对体育事业经费的财政拨款和地方对体育事业经费的财政拨款对国内生产总值的动态效应。通过对变量的检验与模型的分析，得出结论认为，加大财政投入力度不仅有益于发展体育产业、增加体育产品和服务供给，而且有助于扩大内需、培育新的经济增长点。同时本文也研讨了过去国家对体育事业拨款政策存在着一些不足，提出了相应的对策与建议。
가쾌발전체육사업，촉진체육소비추동대음건신시당전국가적일항중요결책。체육사업재정발관대저일결책기착거족경중적작용。본문기우1977-2008년중앙화지방대체육사업적재정발관금액적수거，운용향량자회귀모형（VAR）실증분석중앙대체육사업경비적재정발관화지방대체육사업경비적재정발관대국내생산총치적동태효응。통과대변량적검험여모형적분석，득출결론인위，가대재정투입력도불부유익우발전체육산업、증가체육산품화복무공급，이차유조우확대내수、배육신적경제증장점。동시본문야연토료과거국가대체육사업발관정책존재착일사불족，제출료상응적대책여건의。
In order to stimulate sports consumption to promote public health, to speed up the development of sports is an important decision in China. The decision of sports funding plays a prominent role. Based on the data of central and local sports hmding amount from 1977 to 2008, the author uses vector autoregressive model （VAR） to empirically analyze the dynamic effect on gross domestic product brought by centxal and local sports funding. Through the inspection of variables analysis of the model, it is concluded that to increase the intensity of financial investment is not only beneficial to develop sports, to increase the supply of sports products and service, but also helpful to expand domestic demand and foster new economic growth point. Meanwhile, the present paper also studies some problems of spoas funding policy in the past, and the corresponding countermeasures and suggestions are put forward.