CAJ | 학술논문

高速铁路通过提高城市可达性影响城市人口增长。1997-2011年,在铁路提速的影响下,城市可这性每提高1%,可引起城市人口增长0.67%。到2020年,全国高速铁路网建成后,将对城市化格局产生多方面的影响,表现在：城市人口向高速铁路沿线城市集聚,尤其是向高速铁路密集区域的城市集聚;城市人口向城市群集聚的趋势进一步增强;城市群之间的人口增长速度具有差异性;包括小城市、中等城市、大城市、特大城市、巨型城市在内的城市等级一规模结构将呈橄榄形发展;城市人口增长速度将呈现出小城市〉特大城市〉中等城市=大城市〉巨型城市的格局。
고속철로통과제고성시가체성영향성시인구증장。1997-2011년,재철로제속적영향하,성시가저성매제고1%,가인기성시인구증장0.67%。도2020년,전국고속철로망건성후,장대성시화격국산생다방면적영향,표현재：성시인구향고속철로연선성시집취,우기시향고속철로밀집구역적성시집취;성시인구향성시군집취적추세진일보증강;성시군지간적인구증장속도구유차이성;포괄소성시、중등성시、대성시、특대성시、거형성시재내적성시등급일규모결구장정감람형발전;성시인구증장속도장정현출소성시〉특대성시〉중등성시=대성시〉거형성시적격국。
The high- speed railway influences urban population growth by raising city ＇ s accessibility.In 1997-2011,under the impact of railway speed rising,the 1%increase of the urban accessibility will lead to 0.67%increase of the urban population.By 2020,the complementation of the high-speed railway network will have multiple effects on urbanization pattern.That is,the urban population will agglomerate to the cities along the high- speed railways,especially to the cities in the regions with high density of high- speed railways.At the same time,the trend of urban population migrating to urban agglomerations will be further enhanced,but there is a difference in the population growth rates among those urban agglomerations.Urban level- scale structure including small city,medium- sized city,metropolis,megalopolis and mega- city will be the shape of olive,and the population growth rate of cities will turn into the pattern of small city megalopolis medium- sized city = metropolis mega- city.