CAJ | 학술논문

选取人均GDP、农民年均纯收入和职工平均工资三个反映区域经济发展的指标为分析对象,以云南省16个州市为分析单元,利用年均复合增长率、相对发展指数、基于“基尼系数”的区域发展平衡度、R/S分析法等方法,对云南省近20年来的区域经济发展平衡程度及其未来变化趋势进行定量分析,研究结果表明：（1）云南省人均GDP、农民年均纯收入和职工平均工资稳步增长,但城乡收入差距呈不断扩大的趋势;（2）16个州市间的人均GDP相对发展指数差异较大,而农民人均纯收入、职工平均工资的相对发展指数差异较小;（3）16个州市间的人均GDP的历年平衡度较低但呈现较为明显的上升趋势,农民人均纯收入平衡度较高且呈现上升趋势,职工平均工资平衡度最高但总体呈缓慢下降趋势;（4）未来各州市间人均GDP和农民人均纯收入的区域差异将进一步缩小,职工平均工资区域差异仍将缓慢增大。研究成果对于客观认识云南省经济发展历程,以及为进一步研究其区域经济发展中如何平衡好公平与效率的关系奠定了基础。
선취인균GDP、농민년균순수입화직공평균공자삼개반영구역경제발전적지표위분석대상,이운남성16개주시위분석단원,이용년균복합증장솔、상대발전지수、기우“기니계수”적구역발전평형도、R/S분석법등방법,대운남성근20년래적구역경제발전평형정도급기미래변화추세진행정량분석,연구결과표명：（1）운남성인균GDP、농민년균순수입화직공평균공자은보증장,단성향수입차거정불단확대적추세;（2）16개주시간적인균GDP상대발전지수차이교대,이농민인균순수입、직공평균공자적상대발전지수차이교소;（3）16개주시간적인균GDP적력년평형도교저단정현교위명현적상승추세,농민인균순수입평형도교고차정현상승추세,직공평균공자평형도최고단총체정완만하강추세;（4）미래각주시간인균GDP화농민인균순수입적구역차이장진일보축소,직공평균공자구역차이잉장완만증대。연구성과대우객관인식운남성경제발전역정,이급위진일보연구기구역경제발전중여하평형호공평여효솔적관계전정료기출。
Based on compound average growth rate, relative development index, Gini coefficient regional developmentbalance and R/S analysis method, this paper selects three indicators and uses 16 regions of Yunnan Province as analysisunits to research regional economic development level and its future trend. Quantitative analysis results show that： 1） Percapita GDP, rural per capita net income and average salary of employee increase steadily, but the income gap betweenurban and rural areas is enlarging. 2） Among the 16 regions of Yunnan Province, the difference of Per capita GDP is greatand the differences of rural per capita net income and the average salary of employee are small. 3）Among th.e 16 regionsof Yunnan Province, the per capita GDP over the balance degree is low but shows obvious upward trend, rural per capitanet income balance degree is high and rising, average salary of employee is the highest overall balance but decreasedslowly. 4） Regional differences of GDP per capita and rural per capita net income will be further narrowed, and regionaldifferences of the average salary of employees will increase slowly. This paper may help lay a foundation for furtherstudies on the relationship between fairness and efficiency to balance the regional economic development and give anobjective understanding of economic development of Yunnan Province.