中国科技论坛
中國科技論罈
중국과기론단
Forum on Science and Technology in China
2014年
12期
5~13
,共null页
经济创新度 创新评级 经济体 创新驱动
經濟創新度 創新評級 經濟體 創新驅動
경제창신도 창신평급 경제체 창신구동
Product degree of innovation ; Innovation rating; Economy ; Innovation-driven
基于实施创新驱动发展战略的重大现实需求,提出了经济创新度概念,作为GDP的增量式改进指标,考察经济体发展中创新驱动的程度。建立了基于经济创新度的经济体创新评级方法,并通过对2000-2010年26个主要经济体的实证分析,发现各经济体在创新评级变动上呈现如下特征:一是主要经济体的创新非常活跃;二是经济体之间的创新竞争日益激烈;三是少数经济体创新评级出现重大变化。就中国而言,其一是目前已经是中创新度经济体;其二是中国正处于创新起飞的准备阶段,即从中创新度经济体向高创新度经济体跃升的准备阶段,并预测中国在2020年前后进入创新起飞阶段;其三是今后中国经济发展应侧重提高生产率和排放产出率。最后,提出了对国家、地区和企业层面进行创新评价的政策建议。
基于實施創新驅動髮展戰略的重大現實需求,提齣瞭經濟創新度概唸,作為GDP的增量式改進指標,攷察經濟體髮展中創新驅動的程度。建立瞭基于經濟創新度的經濟體創新評級方法,併通過對2000-2010年26箇主要經濟體的實證分析,髮現各經濟體在創新評級變動上呈現如下特徵:一是主要經濟體的創新非常活躍;二是經濟體之間的創新競爭日益激烈;三是少數經濟體創新評級齣現重大變化。就中國而言,其一是目前已經是中創新度經濟體;其二是中國正處于創新起飛的準備階段,即從中創新度經濟體嚮高創新度經濟體躍升的準備階段,併預測中國在2020年前後進入創新起飛階段;其三是今後中國經濟髮展應側重提高生產率和排放產齣率。最後,提齣瞭對國傢、地區和企業層麵進行創新評價的政策建議。
기우실시창신구동발전전략적중대현실수구,제출료경제창신도개념,작위GDP적증량식개진지표,고찰경제체발전중창신구동적정도。건립료기우경제창신도적경제체창신평급방법,병통과대2000-2010년26개주요경제체적실증분석,발현각경제체재창신평급변동상정현여하특정:일시주요경제체적창신비상활약;이시경제체지간적창신경쟁일익격렬;삼시소수경제체창신평급출현중대변화。취중국이언,기일시목전이경시중창신도경제체;기이시중국정처우창신기비적준비계단,즉종중창신도경제체향고창신도경제체약승적준비계단,병예측중국재2020년전후진입창신기비계단;기삼시금후중국경제발전응측중제고생산솔화배방산출솔。최후,제출료대국가、지구화기업층면진행창신평개적정책건의。
Based on the major practical needs for implementing innovation-driven development strategy, a concept of product degree of innovation (PDI) , as an incremental improvement indicator of GDP, is proposed in order to investigate the innovation-driven extent of an economy development. Then a innovation rating of economy (IRE) is established based on PDI. And through an empirical analysis of the period from 2000 to 2010 on 26 major economies in the world, it's found that the economies show the following characteristics in IRE change : firstly, innovation of major economies is very active ; secondly, innovation competition between economies increasingly is intense ; thirdly, IRE change of few major economies is abnormal. China is now in the middle degree of PDI among all innovation economy, and is ready to take-off in the innovation phase, an early phase jumping from the middle degree of PDI of economies into the high degree of PDI of the economies, and we can forecast that China may become an economy in the take-off phase of innovation in 2020. And then China's economic development in the future should focus on improving productivity and emission yield. Finally, the policy suggestion is put forward that IR should can'y out at the national level, regional level and the enterprise level.