CAJ | 학술논문

传统公共政策研究在实证主义范式的指导下，倾向于在线性因果链和秩序观的基础上实现自上而下的社会控制。因此，在政策实施过程中忽略了政策主体的多重相关性和互动性，政策实施环境的不可控性以及政策运行过程的路径依赖性。复杂性理论作为自然科学中一种新的研究范式，集中于现象的不可还原性、非线性、自组织演化以及对初始条件的敏感依赖性等特征，在很多方面与公共政策领域存在着一定的内在关联。因此，复杂性理论有望为公共政策研究带来一种全新的视角和发展路径。
전통공공정책연구재실증주의범식적지도하，경향우재선성인과련화질서관적기출상실현자상이하적사회공제。인차，재정책실시과정중홀략료정책주체적다중상관성화호동성，정책실시배경적불가공성이급정책운행과정적로경의뢰성。복잡성이론작위자연과학중일충신적연구범식，집중우현상적불가환원성、비선성、자조직연화이급대초시조건적민감의뢰성등특정，재흔다방면여공공정책영역존재착일정적내재관련。인차，복잡성이론유망위공공정책연구대래일충전신적시각화발전로경。
Under the guidance of positivism, traditional public policy research tends to achieve the top - down social control on the bases of linear causal chain and order. As a result, in the process of policy implementation it ignores the multiple correlation and interaction of multiple subjects, the uncontrollability of policy environment and the path dependence of operation process. As a new research paradigm versibility, nonlinearity and self - organization evolution, and in natural science, complexity theory focuses on irre- the sensitive dependence on initial conditions, which are all the characteristics of complex phenomenon. So there exists a certain inner link between public policy re- search and complexity theory, and the latter will provide a new perspective and development path for the former.