财贸经济
財貿經濟
재무경제
Finance & Trade Economics
2014年
12期
133~145
,共null页
CPI编制方法 存在问题 《CPI手册》 若干设想
CPI編製方法 存在問題 《CPI手冊》 若榦設想
CPI편제방법 존재문제 《CPI수책》 약간설상
Consumer Price Index, Compilation Methods, Problems, Consumer Price Index Manual,Series of Suggestions
CPI是宏观经济领域的核心指标之一,也是政府、企业和居民关注的重点对象,其实践意义举足轻重,编制方法的完善与优化事关重大。作为发展中国家,中国CPI的编制工作仍处于向国际规范转变的过渡期,相应编制方法还存在一些不完善之处,常常引发社会公众的困惑、误解和研究者们的分歧、质疑。本文在参考相关国际标准及有关国家实践经验的基础上,结合现实经济情况,针对中国CPI的低层汇总公式偏误、权重更新频率、商品质量变化及新产品的偏误、季节性产品处理、自有住房服务处理及特型价格指数的系统性编制等问题进行了较为详细的分析,并就其可能的改革方向与措施做了较为深入的探讨。
CPI是宏觀經濟領域的覈心指標之一,也是政府、企業和居民關註的重點對象,其實踐意義舉足輕重,編製方法的完善與優化事關重大。作為髮展中國傢,中國CPI的編製工作仍處于嚮國際規範轉變的過渡期,相應編製方法還存在一些不完善之處,常常引髮社會公衆的睏惑、誤解和研究者們的分歧、質疑。本文在參攷相關國際標準及有關國傢實踐經驗的基礎上,結閤現實經濟情況,針對中國CPI的低層彙總公式偏誤、權重更新頻率、商品質量變化及新產品的偏誤、季節性產品處理、自有住房服務處理及特型價格指數的繫統性編製等問題進行瞭較為詳細的分析,併就其可能的改革方嚮與措施做瞭較為深入的探討。
CPI시굉관경제영역적핵심지표지일,야시정부、기업화거민관주적중점대상,기실천의의거족경중,편제방법적완선여우화사관중대。작위발전중국가,중국CPI적편제공작잉처우향국제규범전변적과도기,상응편제방법환존재일사불완선지처,상상인발사회공음적곤혹、오해화연구자문적분기、질의。본문재삼고상관국제표준급유관국가실천경험적기출상,결합현실경제정황,침대중국CPI적저층회총공식편오、권중경신빈솔、상품질량변화급신산품적편오、계절성산품처리、자유주방복무처리급특형개격지수적계통성편제등문제진행료교위상세적분석,병취기가능적개혁방향여조시주료교위심입적탐토。
CPI is one of the core indicators in macroeconomic areas, which has also got attention from the governments, businesses and residents for a long time. CPI plays a decisive role in practical applicationsand it is meaningful to improve and optimize the compilation method. However, as a developing country, China's CPI compilation is still in transition period to international norms. So, there are still some imperfections Of the compilation methods, which often lead to public confusions, misunderstandings, disagreements and incredulity from researchers. According to the relevant international standards of “Consumer Price Index Manual: Theory and Practice” and related countries' practical experience, considering China's real economic situation, this paper summarizes and analyzes several major issues, namely substitution bias issue of the element CPI formula, updating frequency issue of CPI representation basket and weights, quality change bias problem of goods and new products, treatment problem of seasonal products, treatment problem of owner-occupied housing services, systematic preparation issues of special price indexes. Accordingly, this paper conducts a deep analysis on the possible direction of improvement.