中国人口资源与环境
中國人口資源與環境
중국인구자원여배경
China Polulation.Resources and Environment
2014年
12期
125~131
,共null页
水资源反退化 水资源供需管理 全排列综合图示法 太湖流域
水資源反退化 水資源供需管理 全排列綜閤圖示法 太湖流域
수자원반퇴화 수자원공수관리 전배렬종합도시법 태호류역
water antidegradation capacity; water supply and demand management; full permutation polygon synthesis illustrationmethod; Taihu Lake Basin
近年来，我国流域水资源系统退化问题日趋严重。水质恶化、水生态环境退化以及突发性水危机事件常态化等。使得流域水资源反退化能力建设备受重视。环太湖区域作为率先进入现代化建设的示范区．太湖水资源反退化能力建设是区域现代化建设的重要组成部分。为提升太湖流域水资源反退化能力。从水资源供需管理视角出发．构建了供需两侧流域水资源反退化能力评价指标体系．应用全排列综合图示法分析了2001—2012年太湖流域供需两侧水资源反退化能力综合发展指数、发展演变速度及其变化原因，以二维空间矩阵形式对流域水资源反退化能力进行了综合评价。结果表明：近10年来。太湖流域供需两侧水资源反退化能力综合发展指数总体呈上升趋势。自2006年起．需求侧一直高于供给侧。供需两侧正向协调作用没有很好地显现；流域反退化能力发展演变速度总体波动较大，由于社会经济发展、用水效率以及污染治理等因素变化．个别年份需求侧水资源反退化能力出现下降现象；在供水管理方面．自然生态环境的退化是导致供给侧水资源反退化能力下降的主要原因。基于上述结论．分别从供水管理和需水管理角度提出了增强太湖流水资源反退化能力的对策和建议。
近年來，我國流域水資源繫統退化問題日趨嚴重。水質噁化、水生態環境退化以及突髮性水危機事件常態化等。使得流域水資源反退化能力建設備受重視。環太湖區域作為率先進入現代化建設的示範區．太湖水資源反退化能力建設是區域現代化建設的重要組成部分。為提升太湖流域水資源反退化能力。從水資源供需管理視角齣髮．構建瞭供需兩側流域水資源反退化能力評價指標體繫．應用全排列綜閤圖示法分析瞭2001—2012年太湖流域供需兩側水資源反退化能力綜閤髮展指數、髮展縯變速度及其變化原因，以二維空間矩陣形式對流域水資源反退化能力進行瞭綜閤評價。結果錶明：近10年來。太湖流域供需兩側水資源反退化能力綜閤髮展指數總體呈上升趨勢。自2006年起．需求側一直高于供給側。供需兩側正嚮協調作用沒有很好地顯現；流域反退化能力髮展縯變速度總體波動較大，由于社會經濟髮展、用水效率以及汙染治理等因素變化．箇彆年份需求側水資源反退化能力齣現下降現象；在供水管理方麵．自然生態環境的退化是導緻供給側水資源反退化能力下降的主要原因。基于上述結論．分彆從供水管理和需水管理角度提齣瞭增彊太湖流水資源反退化能力的對策和建議。
근년래，아국류역수자원계통퇴화문제일추엄중。수질악화、수생태배경퇴화이급돌발성수위궤사건상태화등。사득류역수자원반퇴화능력건설비수중시。배태호구역작위솔선진입현대화건설적시범구．태호수자원반퇴화능력건설시구역현대화건설적중요조성부분。위제승태호류역수자원반퇴화능력。종수자원공수관리시각출발．구건료공수량측류역수자원반퇴화능력평개지표체계．응용전배렬종합도시법분석료2001—2012년태호류역공수량측수자원반퇴화능력종합발전지수、발전연변속도급기변화원인，이이유공간구진형식대류역수자원반퇴화능력진행료종합평개。결과표명：근10년래。태호류역공수량측수자원반퇴화능력종합발전지수총체정상승추세。자2006년기．수구측일직고우공급측。공수량측정향협조작용몰유흔호지현현；류역반퇴화능력발전연변속도총체파동교대，유우사회경제발전、용수효솔이급오염치리등인소변화．개별년빈수구측수자원반퇴화능력출현하강현상；재공수관리방면．자연생태배경적퇴화시도치공급측수자원반퇴화능력하강적주요원인。기우상술결론．분별종공수관리화수수관리각도제출료증강태호류수자원반퇴화능력적대책화건의。
In recent years, the degradation problems of China＇s water resources system have become more serious. Given the current concerns with water resources system degradation, such as water quality deterioration, water ecology system degradation, and water pollution emergency normalization water resources antidegradation capacity of river basin has been paid more attention. Taihu Lake basin is one of the modernization construction demonstration areas, and the water resources antidegradation capacity is a basis of the district modernization constructions. In order to enhance the water resources antidegradation capacity of Taihu Lake Basin, we set up a water resources antidegradation capacity evaluation model from the perspective of water demand and supply management, and use the full permutation polygon synthesis illustration method （FPPSI） to analyze the comprehensive development index, evolution speed and its changing reasons of water resources antidegradation capacity from 2001 to 2012. Two dimensional matrix is used to estimate the water resources antidegradation capacity comprehensively. The results show that comprehensive development index of the water resources anti-degradation capacity is overall on the increase from the water demand and supply aspect in Taihu Lake Basin. Since 2006, the water resources antidegradation capacity in the water demand side has been higher than it is in the supply side, which indicates the positive coordination efficiency between the two sides is not significant. The evolution speed of the basin antidegradation capacity development varies with great fluctuation. The antidegradation capacity of water demand side descends in some years for the factors such as the socio-economic development, water-usage efficiency and pollution treatment. The antidegradation capacity of water supply side descends because of ecology system degradation. Based on the conclusions mentioned above, the strategies and suggestions for enhancing water resources antidegradation capacity of Taihu Lake Basin are put forward from the perspective of the water demand and supply management.
