CAJ | 학술논문

基于农民收入来源不同和消费类型差异,文章从结构视角研究了经营性收入波动、非经营性收入波动与食品消费波动、非食品消费波动之间的相关关系,发现具有稳定性质的经营性收入的波动是影响各类型消费波动的最主要原因;具有稳定性质的经营性收入波动对具有稳定性质的食品消费波动的影响远远高于对非食品消费波动的影响程度,而具有非稳定性质的非经营性收入波动对具有非稳定性质的非食品消费波动的影响程度远远高于对食品消费波动的影响程度;金融信贷等因素对农民食品消费波动具有明显的平抑作用,但对非食品消费波动的影响不显著,表明恒久性收入假说在收入和消费结构层面上的合理性.文章的政策涵义为：一方面要采取政策措施稳定农村居民的经营性收入,其是稳定消费的关键;另一方面要通过促进金融发展等政策措施提高农村居民平滑非食品消费波动的能力.
기우농민수입래원불동화소비류형차이,문장종결구시각연구료경영성수입파동、비경영성수입파동여식품소비파동、비식품소비파동지간적상관관계,발현구유은정성질적경영성수입적파동시영향각류형소비파동적최주요원인;구유은정성질적경영성수입파동대구유은정성질적식품소비파동적영향원원고우대비식품소비파동적영향정도,이구유비은정성질적비경영성수입파동대구유비은정성질적비식품소비파동적영향정도원원고우대식품소비파동적영향정도;금융신대등인소대농민식품소비파동구유명현적평억작용,단대비식품소비파동적영향불현저,표명항구성수입가설재수입화소비결구층면상적합이성.문장적정책함의위：일방면요채취정책조시은정농촌거민적경영성수입,기시은정소비적관건;령일방면요통과촉진금융발전등정책조시제고농촌거민평활비식품소비파동적능력.
Based on income sources and consumption type, this paper investigated the relationship among operat-ing income fluctuations, non-operating income fluctuations and food consumption fluctuations, and non-food con-sumption fluctuations from the structure perspective. Findings are stability operating income fluctuations mostlyaffect various types of consumption fluctuations; stability operating income fluctuations have effects on stabilityfood consumption fluctuations far above on fluctuations of non-food consumption; non-stability non-operating in-come fluctuations have effects on the volatility of non-food consumption much higher than on the fluctuations offood consumption; financial credit to farmershas a significant stabilizing effect on fluctuations of food consump-tion, but has not significant effect on volatility of non-food consumption. This indicates that the permanent in-come hypothesis is reasonable in the structure of income and consumption level. Policy implications of this paperare policy measures should be taken to stabilize the operating incomes of rural residents, which is the key to sta-bilizing consumers; policies should be made to enhance the ability to smooth non-food consumption of rural resi-dents.