CAJ | 학술논문

基于协同学理论，运用哈肯模型，建立了能源-经济-环境（energy—economy—environment，3E）系统的演化方程，并以中国的30个省份为样本，分别对我国3E系统在2000-2005年和2005-2010年两个阶段的演化机制进行了实证分析，结果表明能源效率是3E系统演化的序参量，深刻影响着大气污染物排放强度的降低，是决定3E系统可持续发展与否的关键因素，在演化过程中能源效率的提高与污染物排放强度的降低之间还未形成协同效应，说明我国节能和减排还未形成相互促进的良性互动机制，节能减排工作中，除了关注经济效率指标外，更应关注环境效率指标，特别是能源消耗的环境效率指标。
기우협동학이론，운용합긍모형，건립료능원-경제-배경（energy—economy—environment，3E）계통적연화방정，병이중국적30개성빈위양본，분별대아국3E계통재2000-2005년화2005-2010년량개계단적연화궤제진행료실증분석，결과표명능원효솔시3E계통연화적서삼량，심각영향착대기오염물배방강도적강저，시결정3E계통가지속발전여부적관건인소，재연화과정중능원효솔적제고여오염물배방강도적강저지간환미형성협동효응，설명아국절능화감배환미형성상호촉진적량성호동궤제，절능감배공작중，제료관주경제효솔지표외，경응관주배경효솔지표，특별시능원소모적배경효솔지표。
Based on the synergetic theory, this paper constructed the evolutionary dynamic equation of energy-economy- environmental system （3Es） according to the Haken Model. Then the equation was adopted to disclose the evolutionary mechanism of 3Es in the period of 2000-2005 and 2005-2010 respectively with 30 parts of China as samples. The results indicated that the energy efficiency is the order parameter and a profound impact on reducing air pollutant emissions intensity, also the critical factor to the sustainable development of 3Es, There is no benign synergistic effect between the increase of energy efficiency and reduction of pollution intensity, which also means that the mutual reinforce mechanism between energy-saving and pollution-reducing has not formed emission cutting policy should not only focus on the economic attention to environmental efficiency of energy consumption. The results also suggest that the energy saving and efficiency of energy consumption, but also pay more