软科学
軟科學
연과학
Soft Science
2014年
12期
38~41
,共null页
对外直接投资 产业结构调整 灰色关联度分析
對外直接投資 產業結構調整 灰色關聯度分析
대외직접투자 산업결구조정 회색관련도분석
outward foreign direct investment; industrial structure adjustment; grey relation analysis
提取2003~2011年我国OFDI七大主要行业存量数据,在借鉴国内外研究文献的基础上,引用更为合理的产业结构升级指标,运用灰色关联分析得出OFDI与国内产业结构调整的灰色关联度。结果显示以信息传输、计算机服务和软件业、采矿业为代表的技术寻求型和资源寻求型对外直接投资对国内产业结构调整的影响较大,而以交通运输、仓储邮政业和租赁商务服务业为代表的市场寻求型对外直接投资的影响较小。最后,基于灰色关联分析结果以及我国OFDI主要行业普遍存在的投资粗放、利润率低等问题,从OFDI对产业结构调整的反向关联效应作用机制角度,提出行业针对性建议。
提取2003~2011年我國OFDI七大主要行業存量數據,在藉鑒國內外研究文獻的基礎上,引用更為閤理的產業結構升級指標,運用灰色關聯分析得齣OFDI與國內產業結構調整的灰色關聯度。結果顯示以信息傳輸、計算機服務和軟件業、採礦業為代錶的技術尋求型和資源尋求型對外直接投資對國內產業結構調整的影響較大,而以交通運輸、倉儲郵政業和租賃商務服務業為代錶的市場尋求型對外直接投資的影響較小。最後,基于灰色關聯分析結果以及我國OFDI主要行業普遍存在的投資粗放、利潤率低等問題,從OFDI對產業結構調整的反嚮關聯效應作用機製角度,提齣行業針對性建議。
제취2003~2011년아국OFDI칠대주요행업존량수거,재차감국내외연구문헌적기출상,인용경위합리적산업결구승급지표,운용회색관련분석득출OFDI여국내산업결구조정적회색관련도。결과현시이신식전수、계산궤복무화연건업、채광업위대표적기술심구형화자원심구형대외직접투자대국내산업결구조정적영향교대,이이교통운수、창저유정업화조임상무복무업위대표적시장심구형대외직접투자적영향교소。최후,기우회색관련분석결과이급아국OFDI주요행업보편존재적투자조방、리윤솔저등문제,종OFDI대산업결구조정적반향관련효응작용궤제각도,제출행업침대성건의。
This paper taking the method of grey relation analysis to explore the relationship between OFDI and industrial structure upgrading of source country,on the basis of historical literatures at home and abroad,through taking the main seven industry stock data of outward foreign direct investment in China during 2003 to 2011 as a sample and quoting a more rational industrial structure upgrading indicator. The results show that,the information,computer services,mining as the kind of technology-seeking and resource-seeking's outward foreign direct investment,have a greater impact on Chinese industrial structure adjustment. While the impact of market-seeking's outward foreign direction investment,such as transportation,storage,postal service,Leasing and Business Services,is lower. At the end,put forward to targeted industry policy recommendations for Chinese outward foreign investment,basing on the grey correlation analysis results and the ubiquitous problems,like extensive investment,low profit margins,of China's OFDI from the angle of the reverse effect mechanism of industry structure.