科技进步与对策
科技進步與對策
과기진보여대책
Science & Technology Progress and Policy
2014年
23期
47~50
,共null页
碳排放核算 能源消耗 资本投资 人口增长
碳排放覈算 能源消耗 資本投資 人口增長
탄배방핵산 능원소모 자본투자 인구증장
Carbon Accounting ; Energy Consumption ; Capital Investment ; Population Growth
为合理测算中国碳排放总量,提出了以单个人为基础的碳排放核算模型。个体碳排放量受其物质资本与人力资本、消费倾向与投资倾向影响,而计算中国碳排放总量还应考虑人口增长的影响。对个体资本投资倾向提出合理假设,进而构建人口增长模型。最后,根据各省GDP分布情况,赋予模型一个初始财富值,核算出中国碳排放总量。
為閤理測算中國碳排放總量,提齣瞭以單箇人為基礎的碳排放覈算模型。箇體碳排放量受其物質資本與人力資本、消費傾嚮與投資傾嚮影響,而計算中國碳排放總量還應攷慮人口增長的影響。對箇體資本投資傾嚮提齣閤理假設,進而構建人口增長模型。最後,根據各省GDP分佈情況,賦予模型一箇初始財富值,覈算齣中國碳排放總量。
위합리측산중국탄배방총량,제출료이단개인위기출적탄배방핵산모형。개체탄배방량수기물질자본여인력자본、소비경향여투자경향영향,이계산중국탄배방총량환응고필인구증장적영향。대개체자본투자경향제출합리가설,진이구건인구증장모형。최후,근거각성GDP분포정황,부여모형일개초시재부치,핵산출중국탄배방총량。
Through the establishment of carbon accounting model with a single individual based, calculated the carbon e- missions of individuals, and then adds the total, accounting of the total carbon emissions in china. The 34 provincial-level administrative units in China according to GDP per capita for classification, and to the provinces and autonomous regions according to the economic and demographic characteristics and technical index, individual development plan of two types of individual liberty, select each development programmed. The model of carbon emission in China from the point of view of people, which has certain guiding significance for Chinese carbon emission evaluation.
