CAJ | 학술논문

本文利用《中国城市青年状况调查》数据,使用多项式Logistic回归分析方法对我国城市青年的地理通婚圈进行研究。研究结果显示：人口迁移流动经历对城市未婚青年意愿通婚圈和初婚青年现实通婚圈的扩大都具有明显的促进作用,同时还发现城市独生子女的通婚圈明显比非独生子女小,但地理通婚圈不会因兄弟姐妹数量的增加而扩大。据此提出＂二孩生育＂政策应该成为我国生育政策的建议。
본문이용《중국성시청년상황조사》수거,사용다항식Logistic회귀분석방법대아국성시청년적지리통혼권진행연구。연구결과현시：인구천이류동경력대성시미혼청년의원통혼권화초혼청년현실통혼권적확대도구유명현적촉진작용,동시환발현성시독생자녀적통혼권명현비비독생자녀소,단지리통혼권불회인형제저매수량적증가이확대。거차제출＂이해생육＂정책응해성위아국생육정책적건의。
This article take use of ＂Chinese City Youth Situation Investigation＂ data, and muhinomial logistic return analysis method research on the urban youth of geographical intermarriage circle came to the following conclusions： population migration experience had a significant influence on the city unmarried youth＇ s Willing intermarriage circle and married youth＂ s reality intermarriage circle expanded, we also found that one-child of urban youth intermarriage circle obviously smaller than non one-child, but intermarriage circle does not due to sib＇ s amount. The ＂Two Children＂ family planning policy should be the destiny of China＇ s fertility policy.