软科学
軟科學
연과학
Soft Science
2015年
1期
37~41
,共null页
结构转型 科技创新 城乡收入差距 贝叶斯分位数
結構轉型 科技創新 城鄉收入差距 貝葉斯分位數
결구전형 과기창신 성향수입차거 패협사분위수
structural transformation;technology innovation;income gap between urban and rural residents;Bayesian quan-tile
利用1978～2012年数据，通过贝叶斯分位数方法实证检验了我国结构转型、科技创新能否缩减城乡收入差距这一命题。结果表明：结构转型、科技创新都显著拉大城乡收入差距，科技创新对城乡收入差距的影响大于结构转型，且科技创新加剧了收入差距扩大的速度，而结构转型导致收入差距扩大的速度变缓。这主要与我国产业结构发展不平衡以及城乡间科技差异过大有关。
利用1978～2012年數據，通過貝葉斯分位數方法實證檢驗瞭我國結構轉型、科技創新能否縮減城鄉收入差距這一命題。結果錶明：結構轉型、科技創新都顯著拉大城鄉收入差距，科技創新對城鄉收入差距的影響大于結構轉型，且科技創新加劇瞭收入差距擴大的速度，而結構轉型導緻收入差距擴大的速度變緩。這主要與我國產業結構髮展不平衡以及城鄉間科技差異過大有關。
이용1978～2012년수거，통과패협사분위수방법실증검험료아국결구전형、과기창신능부축감성향수입차거저일명제。결과표명：결구전형、과기창신도현저랍대성향수입차거，과기창신대성향수입차거적영향대우결구전형，차과기창신가극료수입차거확대적속도，이결구전형도치수입차거확대적속도변완。저주요여아국산업결구발전불평형이급성향간과기차이과대유관。
This paper empirically tests whether structural transformation and technology innovation will reduce the income gap between urban and rural residents with Bayesian quantile model in the period of 1978 to 2012 .The results show that structural transformation and technology innovation have positive impact on income gap between urban and rural residents , but the degree of impact has difference between structural transformation and technology innovation , the specific results are that the impact of technology on income gap between urban and rural residents is larger than structural transformation , and the speed of income gap is decreasing under structural transformation , but the speed of income gap is increasing under tech-nology innovation .The results are mainly related to industrial structure uneven development and science difference too large between urban and rural areas .
