国际贸易问题
國際貿易問題
국제무역문제
Journal of International Trade
2015年
1期
112~122
,共null页
反倾销 反倾销网络 社会网络分析 角色地位 邻接矩阵
反傾銷 反傾銷網絡 社會網絡分析 角色地位 鄰接矩陣
반경소 반경소망락 사회망락분석 각색지위 린접구진
Anti-dumping; Anti-dumping network; Social network analysis; Role and status; Adjacency matrix
本文以世界反倾销最主要的37个成员的反倾销调查数据为基础,将1995—2013年分成两个阶段,分别构建了两个阶段的37×37的邻接矩阵,采用社会网络分析方法对比分析了中国在世界反倾销中角色地位的变化。研究表明,世界对中国的反倾销明显加强,但中国通过反倾销保护自身利益的偏好也在加强;中国控制其他成员问反倾销关系的能力明显加强,同时其他成员对美国反倾销行为的模仿几率很大,但对欧盟的模仿几率明显降低;中国陷入反倾销摩擦的程度比印度更深;世界反倾销有向少数成员集中的倾向,并且中国维持在核心地带;长期以来,中国倾向于被动接受国外的反倾销,且中国所处群体的自反性不显著。为实现我国对外贸易的可持续发展,本文从经济合作、贸易均衡等方面提出了政策建议。
本文以世界反傾銷最主要的37箇成員的反傾銷調查數據為基礎,將1995—2013年分成兩箇階段,分彆構建瞭兩箇階段的37×37的鄰接矩陣,採用社會網絡分析方法對比分析瞭中國在世界反傾銷中角色地位的變化。研究錶明,世界對中國的反傾銷明顯加彊,但中國通過反傾銷保護自身利益的偏好也在加彊;中國控製其他成員問反傾銷關繫的能力明顯加彊,同時其他成員對美國反傾銷行為的模倣幾率很大,但對歐盟的模倣幾率明顯降低;中國陷入反傾銷摩抆的程度比印度更深;世界反傾銷有嚮少數成員集中的傾嚮,併且中國維持在覈心地帶;長期以來,中國傾嚮于被動接受國外的反傾銷,且中國所處群體的自反性不顯著。為實現我國對外貿易的可持續髮展,本文從經濟閤作、貿易均衡等方麵提齣瞭政策建議。
본문이세계반경소최주요적37개성원적반경소조사수거위기출,장1995—2013년분성량개계단,분별구건료량개계단적37×37적린접구진,채용사회망락분석방법대비분석료중국재세계반경소중각색지위적변화。연구표명,세계대중국적반경소명현가강,단중국통과반경소보호자신이익적편호야재가강;중국공제기타성원문반경소관계적능력명현가강,동시기타성원대미국반경소행위적모방궤솔흔대,단대구맹적모방궤솔명현강저;중국함입반경소마찰적정도비인도경심;세계반경소유향소수성원집중적경향,병차중국유지재핵심지대;장기이래,중국경향우피동접수국외적반경소,차중국소처군체적자반성불현저。위실현아국대외무역적가지속발전,본문종경제합작、무역균형등방면제출료정책건의。
Based on anti-dumping data of the leading 37 member countries, this paper divides the period of 1995-2013 into two phases, respectively constructs the adjacency matrix of 37 37 in two phases, and comparatively analyzes the changes of China's role and status in the world's anti-dumping activities by applying social network analysis. The findings show that the world's anti-dumping activities against China have obviously intensified, but China's preference of protecting its own interests through anti-dumping has also increased; China's abili- ty of controlling the anti-dumping relations with other members has significantly improved; the other members are inclined to imitate the way of American an- ti-dumping actions, while the imitation on that of the EU has significantly reduced; China suffered much more in the anti-dumping frictions than India; the world's anti-dumping has a tendency of concentrating on a certain few members and China remains at the center; China tends to passively endure foreign anti-dumping actions for a long time and the awareness of the reflexivity on China' s side is not significant. In order to achieve the sustainable development of China 's foreign trade, this paper puts forward some policy recommendations regarding economic cooperation and trade balance, etc.