CAJ | 학술논문

基于投入产出模型可以构建多种产业关联效应测度方法，但不同方法间的区别与联系尚未获得足够重视和透彻把握。本文探讨了常规不加权产业关联测度的真实内涵和局限性，并由经济分析人手探讨和论证了相应的加权测度形式；将简单和加权的两种方式归纳为产业关联的相对（边际或平均）测度和绝对（规模）测度，着重辨析其经济内涵的异同点；进而分别采用Leontief和Ghosh模型体系，从需求拉动和供给推动两个角度测度后向和前向产业关联效应。结合我国投入产出数据的实证分析表明，不同测度方法给出的结果均有其经济分析价值；但相对而言，考虑规模因素的加权测度方法在刻画实际的产业关联效应方面显得更为客观、可信。
기우투입산출모형가이구건다충산업관련효응측도방법，단불동방법간적구별여련계상미획득족구중시화투철파악。본문탐토료상규불가권산업관련측도적진실내함화국한성，병유경제분석인수탐토화론증료상응적가권측도형식；장간단화가권적량충방식귀납위산업관련적상대（변제혹평균）측도화절대（규모）측도，착중변석기경제내함적이동점；진이분별채용Leontief화Ghosh모형체계，종수구랍동화공급추동량개각도측도후향화전향산업관련효응。결합아국투입산출수거적실증분석표명，불동측도방법급출적결과균유기경제분석개치；단상대이언，고필규모인소적가권측도방법재각화실제적산업관련효응방면현득경위객관、가신。
Lots of measurement methods of industrial linkage were proposed based on Input-Output model. But the distinctions and connections among them have not obtained enough attention and thorough grasp of. In view of this, this paper discusses the connotation and limitation of unweighted industrial linkage measure, and demonstrates the weighted methods by economic analysis. It summarizes simple and weighted methods as the marginal measure and absolute measure, and focuses on the similarities and differences of economic connotation among them. It shows that backward linkage should be measured from demand-pull perspective by the Leontief model and that forward linkage should be measured from supply- driven perspective by the Ghosh model. Our empirical evidence shows that different methods have their own economic meaning and analytical value, but relatively speaking the absolute impact measurement method is more objective and credible in portraying the actual degree.