辽宁大学学报:哲学社会科学版
遼寧大學學報:哲學社會科學版
료녕대학학보:철학사회과학판
Jounal of Liaoning University(Philosophy and Social Sciences Edition)
2015年
1期
142~147
,共null页
自贸区 引力模型 贸易扩大效应
自貿區 引力模型 貿易擴大效應
자무구 인력모형 무역확대효응
FTA; Trade Gravity Model; Trade Expansion Effect
由于全球经济一体化进程不断受挫,区域经济合作受到越来越广泛的关注,极大地促进了区域内各国自由贸易的发展。特别是东亚地区受到1997年金融危机的影响,加之北美和欧盟自由贸易区快速发展的刺激,使得区域合作步伐加快,东亚各国从中获取经济收益。然而各国的收益不尽相同,东盟是南南经济合作中的典范,中、日、韩与其构建的三个自由贸易区对三国贸易产生不同程度的影响。文章基于引力模型对三个自由贸易区的贸易扩大效应进行实证分析,比较分析影响三个自贸区贸易扩大效应的因素,从而为中日韩自由贸易区的构建提供借鉴。
由于全毬經濟一體化進程不斷受挫,區域經濟閤作受到越來越廣汎的關註,極大地促進瞭區域內各國自由貿易的髮展。特彆是東亞地區受到1997年金融危機的影響,加之北美和歐盟自由貿易區快速髮展的刺激,使得區域閤作步伐加快,東亞各國從中穫取經濟收益。然而各國的收益不儘相同,東盟是南南經濟閤作中的典範,中、日、韓與其構建的三箇自由貿易區對三國貿易產生不同程度的影響。文章基于引力模型對三箇自由貿易區的貿易擴大效應進行實證分析,比較分析影響三箇自貿區貿易擴大效應的因素,從而為中日韓自由貿易區的構建提供藉鑒。
유우전구경제일체화진정불단수좌,구역경제합작수도월래월엄범적관주,겁대지촉진료구역내각국자유무역적발전。특별시동아지구수도1997년금융위궤적영향,가지북미화구맹자유무역구쾌속발전적자격,사득구역합작보벌가쾌,동아각국종중획취경제수익。연이각국적수익불진상동,동맹시남남경제합작중적전범,중、일、한여기구건적삼개자유무역구대삼국무역산생불동정도적영향。문장기우인력모형대삼개자유무역구적무역확대효응진행실증분석,비교분석영향삼개자무구무역확대효응적인소,종이위중일한자유무역구적구건제공차감。
The economic globalization is in stagnant condition, while the regional economy integration is gaining more and more attention. The Asian Financial Crisis in 1997 affected East Asia seriously, and the rapid development of NAFI'A and EU stimulated East Asia, which prompts the development of regional economic cooperation in East Asia and brings benefit to countries. However, the profit may vary among different countries. ASEAN is a typical example of South-South economic cooperation. China, Japan and Korea are establishing economic cooperation with ASEAN, which affected the three economies. Based on Trade Gravity Model, the paper shows an empirical research on the comparison of trade expansion effect of the three free trade areas. By comparing the different factors and strategies of China, Japan and Korea, the paper offers some suggestions concerning the establishment of the Free Trade Area of China, Japan and Korea.