CAJ | 학술논문

全球经济失衡的加剧引起了国际的担忧。文章首先采用类比先进经济体的方法，构建了中国1997—2011年产业结构调整指数。中国的产业结构调整指数以2004年为临界点。呈“倒U型”趋势。前期快速相似于先进经济体，后期进入缓慢调整期，降低了与先进经济体的相似度。计量分析显示，总体上。中国的产业结构调整得愈发相似于先进经济体，全球经济失衡程度加剧，但2004年之后，中国进行的产业结构调整探索，有助于改善全球经济失衡的程度。在未来的调整与治理中，中国需权衡好产业升级与人们生存发展的关系以及国内发展与国外利益的关系。
전구경제실형적가극인기료국제적담우。문장수선채용류비선진경제체적방법，구건료중국1997—2011년산업결구조정지수。중국적산업결구조정지수이2004년위림계점。정“도U형”추세。전기쾌속상사우선진경제체，후기진입완만조정기，강저료여선진경제체적상사도。계량분석현시，총체상。중국적산업결구조정득유발상사우선진경제체，전구경제실형정도가극，단2004년지후，중국진행적산업결구조정탐색，유조우개선전구경제실형적정도。재미래적조정여치리중，중국수권형호산업승급여인문생존발전적관계이급국내발전여국외이익적관계。
The intensification of global economic imbalance causes international concern. From the perspective of China, this paper explores the issue of industrial structure change in China, global economic imbalance and its governance. Applying the method of analogue of the advanced economies, it establishes the index of industrial structure change in China from 1997 to 2011. The trend of the change of the index appeared to be in an inverted U shape with the critical point in 2004. The index went through a rapid development in the early stage, which was similar to the advanced economies. Later, it went into a stage of slow adjustment, resulting in a decrease in the similarity between China and other advanced economies. Based on the results mentioned above, it establishes an econometric model to analyze those issues empirically. The result shows that, generally speaking, the way in which China adjusts its industrial structure has born more and more resemblance to that of advanced economies, and global economy has become more imbalanced than before. But the exploration China has taken to restructure its economy since 2004 has helped to solve the problem of global imbalance. In the future, China needs to balance the relationship between industrial structure upgrading and the people＇s living and development as well as the relationship between domestic development and foreign benefits.