CAJ | 학술논문

基于江西省11个地级市1997—2012年国内旅游收入、国际旅游收入与地区生产总值面板数据，通过协整分析、格兰杰因果关系检验及面板数据模型等方法，综合分析了江西省旅游经济效应分异特征。长期内，江西省整体旅游发展对经济增长发挥了正向带动效应，但国内旅游发展水平与国际旅游发展水平不均衡，国内旅游对于经济增长的带动作用相对较弱；同时旅游收入与经济增长不存在格兰杰因果关系，尚无法形成两者相互促进的良好局势；而江西省内部旅游经济效益存在明显的协整关系和格兰杰因果关系地域差异。
기우강서성11개지급시1997—2012년국내여유수입、국제여유수입여지구생산총치면판수거，통과협정분석、격란걸인과관계검험급면판수거모형등방법，종합분석료강서성여유경제효응분이특정。장기내，강서성정체여유발전대경제증장발휘료정향대동효응，단국내여유발전수평여국제여유발전수평불균형，국내여유대우경제증장적대동작용상대교약；동시여유수입여경제증장불존재격란걸인과관계，상무법형성량자상호촉진적량호국세；이강서성내부여유경제효익존재명현적협정관계화격란걸인과관계지역차이。
This article studied dissimilarity characteristics of the economic effects of tourism in Jiangxi Province through the cointegration analysis,Granger causality test,panel data models and other methods,based on the panel data of domestic tourism revenue,international tourism receipts and regional GDP from 1997 to 2012 collected from 11 cities in Jiangxi Province. In the long term, the overall economic growth of Jiangxi tourism development has played a positive driving role,but the development of domestic tourism was not in bal？ance with that of international tourism and domestic tourism is relatively weak in driving economic growth. Meanwhile,the relationship of Granger causality was not found between tourism revenues and economic growth, meaning the two were unable to mutually reinforce each other.However,obvious regional differences were found in the internal tourism economic benefits of Jiangxi in co-integration and Granger relationship.