经济问题
經濟問題
경제문제
On Economic Problems
2015年
2期
63~68
,共null页
失业保险基金 失业人员再就业 线性协整 面板协整检验
失業保險基金 失業人員再就業 線性協整 麵闆協整檢驗
실업보험기금 실업인원재취업 선성협정 면판협정검험
unemployment insurance fund ; re - employment of unemployed ; linear cointegration ; panel cointe-gration test
基于失业保险基金支出与失业人员再就业的全国时间序列数据(1993~2012年)和省级面板数据(1999~2012年),采用线性协整理论和以误差修正为基础的面板协整理论对失业保险基金支出与失业人员再就业人数的关系分别进行了检验。研究发现:失业保险基金支出在全国范围内的促进就业功能是正常存在的。但是从全国各省份来看,失业保险基金支出对失业人员再就业的影响具有显著的区域差异性。绝大多数省份的失业保险基金支出对失业人员再就业不仅具有长期协整关系,而且短期内具有反向的误差修正机制。因此建议构建省级层面的失业保险基金支出与就业联动机制,明确失业保险基金各项支出尤其是"促进就业"支出的比例。
基于失業保險基金支齣與失業人員再就業的全國時間序列數據(1993~2012年)和省級麵闆數據(1999~2012年),採用線性協整理論和以誤差脩正為基礎的麵闆協整理論對失業保險基金支齣與失業人員再就業人數的關繫分彆進行瞭檢驗。研究髮現:失業保險基金支齣在全國範圍內的促進就業功能是正常存在的。但是從全國各省份來看,失業保險基金支齣對失業人員再就業的影響具有顯著的區域差異性。絕大多數省份的失業保險基金支齣對失業人員再就業不僅具有長期協整關繫,而且短期內具有反嚮的誤差脩正機製。因此建議構建省級層麵的失業保險基金支齣與就業聯動機製,明確失業保險基金各項支齣尤其是"促進就業"支齣的比例。
기우실업보험기금지출여실업인원재취업적전국시간서렬수거(1993~2012년)화성급면판수거(1999~2012년),채용선성협정이론화이오차수정위기출적면판협정이론대실업보험기금지출여실업인원재취업인수적관계분별진행료검험。연구발현:실업보험기금지출재전국범위내적촉진취업공능시정상존재적。단시종전국각성빈래간,실업보험기금지출대실업인원재취업적영향구유현저적구역차이성。절대다수성빈적실업보험기금지출대실업인원재취업불부구유장기협정관계,이차단기내구유반향적오차수정궤제。인차건의구건성급층면적실업보험기금지출여취업련동궤제,명학실업보험기금각항지출우기시"촉진취업"지출적비례。
Based on time series data 1993 - 2012 of China and panel data 1999 - 2012 of province, using linear cointegration and error - correction - based cointegration tests for panel data, this paper makes an empirical study of relationships of unemployment insurance fund expenditure and the re - employment of unemployed staff. The empiri- cal results show that the function of promoting employment of unemployment insurance is normal and existing. The effect of unemployment insurance fund expenditure on the re - employment of unemployed staff is obvious in differ- ent regions. In most of the provinces, unemployment insurance fund expenditures are found to have a strong positive effect on re - employment of unemployed staff from long - run. It is the mechanism of reverse error - correction from short - run. In conclusion, provincial governments should build the linkage mechanism of unemployment insurance fund expenditure and re - employment of unemployed. In order to give full play to the proper function of unemploy- ment insurance, it is important that clearing the proportion of unemployment insurance fund expenditure, especially the proportion of promoting employment.