财经理论与实践
財經理論與實踐
재경이론여실천
The Theory and Practice of Finance and Economics
2015年
1期
89~94
,共null页
财政支出 区域经济差异 时空效应 动态空间面板模型
財政支齣 區域經濟差異 時空效應 動態空間麵闆模型
재정지출 구역경제차이 시공효응 동태공간면판모형
Fiscal expenditure;Regional economic differences;Time and space influence;Dy-namic spatial panel model
通过构建财政支出对区域经济差异影响机制的理论框架,采用较为前沿的动态空间面板计量方法对1998~2011年我国25个省,283个地级市的数据进行实证分析。结果表明：财政支出对区域经济差异的变动有明显的影响作用,一般预算支出规模越大越有利于缩小区域经济差异;财政支出的规模与结构会通过省区经济差异的动态变化及空间溢出机制对区域经济差异变动产生时空效应,即上一期和相邻省份的财政支出均会对本地区内部的经济增长差距产生影响。
通過構建財政支齣對區域經濟差異影響機製的理論框架,採用較為前沿的動態空間麵闆計量方法對1998~2011年我國25箇省,283箇地級市的數據進行實證分析。結果錶明：財政支齣對區域經濟差異的變動有明顯的影響作用,一般預算支齣規模越大越有利于縮小區域經濟差異;財政支齣的規模與結構會通過省區經濟差異的動態變化及空間溢齣機製對區域經濟差異變動產生時空效應,即上一期和相鄰省份的財政支齣均會對本地區內部的經濟增長差距產生影響。
통과구건재정지출대구역경제차이영향궤제적이론광가,채용교위전연적동태공간면판계량방법대1998~2011년아국25개성,283개지급시적수거진행실증분석。결과표명：재정지출대구역경제차이적변동유명현적영향작용,일반예산지출규모월대월유리우축소구역경제차이;재정지출적규모여결구회통과성구경제차이적동태변화급공간일출궤제대구역경제차이변동산생시공효응,즉상일기화상린성빈적재정지출균회대본지구내부적경제증장차거산생영향。
This paper builds a theoretical framework of fiscal expenditure and regional eco-nomic differences,and then based on the more cutting-edge dynamic spatial panel model it empiri-cally analyzes China＆#39;s provincial data from 1 998 to 201 1.The result shows that：the active fiscal policy has positive effects on reducing regional economic differences;the larger fiscal expenditure is,the more obviously it impacts on regional economic differences;the fiscal expenditure size and the structure will bring about time and space influence on regional economic differences through the mechanism of dynamic change and spatial spillover.In other words,fiscal expenditure of the previous period and that of the neighboring provinces affects local regional economic differences.
