CAJ | 학술논문

基于山东省849家养猪场户的问卷调查资料,首先运用Probit模型确定了养猪场户养殖规模扩大意愿的影响因素,然后运用ISM解析了各影响因素直接的关联关系和层次结构。结果表明：决策者文化程度、专业化程度、横向合作程度、规模养殖态度、养猪风险敏感度、养猪前景判断、政府宣传推广和产地特征8个因素对养猪场户的养殖规模扩大意愿有显著影响;其中,产地特征和规模养殖态度是表层直接因素,养猪风险敏感度和养猪前景判断是中层间接因素,决策者文化程度、专业化程度、横向合作程度和政府宣传推广是深层根源因素。
기우산동성849가양저장호적문권조사자료,수선운용Probit모형학정료양저장호양식규모확대의원적영향인소,연후운용ISM해석료각영향인소직접적관련관계화층차결구。결과표명：결책자문화정도、전업화정도、횡향합작정도、규모양식태도、양저풍험민감도、양저전경판단、정부선전추엄화산지특정8개인소대양저장호적양식규모확대의원유현저영향;기중,산지특정화규모양식태도시표층직접인소,양저풍험민감도화양저전경판단시중층간접인소,결책자문화정도、전업화정도、횡향합작정도화정부선전추엄시심층근원인소。
Using the survey data,this paper determines the influencing factors of pig-raising household or farm＇s willingness to expand breed scale by applying Probit model. Then it uses ISM to analyze the relationship and hierarchical structure among these influencing factors. The results show as follows：eight influencing factors,namely education, specialization, whether to join pig cooperatives,attitude towards scale cultiva tion,risk sensitivity,prospect judgement,government＇s promotion,have significant impacts on pig-raising household＇s behaviors;attitude towards scale breed and origin characteristic are the surface direct factors; risk sensitivity and prospect judgement are the intermediate indirect factors; education, specialization, whether to join pig cooperatives and government＇s promotion are the deep root factors.