CAJ | 학술논문

基于1982－2010年广东省统计数据，运用C－D生产函数模型和索洛余值法测算农业技术进步水平时间序列，结合农村金融发展衡量指标，实证分析农村金融发展与农业技术进步关系。结果表明：尽管广东农村金融发展与农业技术进步存在长期均衡协整关系，但二者仅具有单向格兰杰因果联系，即农业技术进步是农村金融发展效率的Granger原因，而农村金融发展规模和效率均不是农业技术进步的Granger原因。故广东农村金融发展与农业技术进步间良性互动机制尚未形成。
기우1982－2010년광동성통계수거，운용C－D생산함수모형화색락여치법측산농업기술진보수평시간서렬，결합농촌금융발전형량지표，실증분석농촌금융발전여농업기술진보관계。결과표명：진관엄동농촌금융발전여농업기술진보존재장기균형협정관계，단이자부구유단향격란걸인과련계，즉농업기술진보시농촌금융발전효솔적Granger원인，이농촌금융발전규모화효솔균불시농업기술진보적Granger원인。고엄동농촌금융발전여농업기술진보간량성호동궤제상미형성。
This empirical case study,on the basis of the statistical data of Guangdong Province （1982-2010）,using the C-D pro-duction function model and Solow Residual Method,calculates the time series of the agricultural technology progress level of Guangdong Province in China and analyzes the relationship between rural financial development and agricultural technology progress,combining with the measurement index of rural financial development.The results show that there is only a one-way Granger causal relationship between Guangdong＇s rural financial development and agricultural technology progress despite a long-term equilibrium cointegration relationship between the two.That is,agricultural technology progress is the Granger cause of the efficiency of rural financial development,but rural financial development scale and the development efficiency are not the progress of agricultural technology Granger cause.A conclusion is thus drawn that the mechanism of benign interaction between rural financial development and agricultural technology progress has not yet formed in Guangdong Province.