农业经济与管理
農業經濟與管理
농업경제여관리
Fisheries Economy Research
2015年
1期
40~45
,共null页
粮食补贴 粮食产量 关联度
糧食補貼 糧食產量 關聯度
양식보첩 양식산량 관련도
grain subsidy policy; grain production; degree of association
为对比分析不同粮食补贴政策对粮食产量影响的作用,本文基于改进的灰色关联度(T型关联度)分析得出如下结论:粮食直接补贴、良种补贴、农机购置补贴以及农资综合补贴政策与粮食产量之间均存在正相关关系,即该四项粮食补贴政策能够有效促进粮食产量的增加。其中良种补贴与粮食产量的关联度最强,其余依次为农机购置补贴、农资综合补贴、粮食直接补贴。粮食直接补贴政策的作用效果最差,与粮食产量的关联度仅为0.0049。为充分发挥我国粮食补贴政策的作用效果、实现补贴资金效益最大化,首先,在不违背WTO关于农业补贴规定的限度内,继续加大对农业的扶持力度;其次,粮食补贴资金应有重点地向与粮食产量关联度高的补贴政策倾斜,并积极探索新型农业补贴政策,不断完善我国粮食补贴政策体系。
為對比分析不同糧食補貼政策對糧食產量影響的作用,本文基于改進的灰色關聯度(T型關聯度)分析得齣如下結論:糧食直接補貼、良種補貼、農機購置補貼以及農資綜閤補貼政策與糧食產量之間均存在正相關關繫,即該四項糧食補貼政策能夠有效促進糧食產量的增加。其中良種補貼與糧食產量的關聯度最彊,其餘依次為農機購置補貼、農資綜閤補貼、糧食直接補貼。糧食直接補貼政策的作用效果最差,與糧食產量的關聯度僅為0.0049。為充分髮揮我國糧食補貼政策的作用效果、實現補貼資金效益最大化,首先,在不違揹WTO關于農業補貼規定的限度內,繼續加大對農業的扶持力度;其次,糧食補貼資金應有重點地嚮與糧食產量關聯度高的補貼政策傾斜,併積極探索新型農業補貼政策,不斷完善我國糧食補貼政策體繫。
위대비분석불동양식보첩정책대양식산량영향적작용,본문기우개진적회색관련도(T형관련도)분석득출여하결론:양식직접보첩、량충보첩、농궤구치보첩이급농자종합보첩정책여양식산량지간균존재정상관관계,즉해사항양식보첩정책능구유효촉진양식산량적증가。기중량충보첩여양식산량적관련도최강,기여의차위농궤구치보첩、농자종합보첩、양식직접보첩。양식직접보첩정책적작용효과최차,여양식산량적관련도부위0.0049。위충분발휘아국양식보첩정책적작용효과、실현보첩자금효익최대화,수선,재불위배WTO관우농업보첩규정적한도내,계속가대대농업적부지력도;기차,양식보첩자금응유중점지향여양식산량관련도고적보첩정책경사,병적겁탐색신형농업보첩정책,불단완선아국양식보첩정책체계。
This paper analyzed the effects of different grain subsidy policy based on the modified grey relation analysis (T's correlation degree). The results showed that there was a positive correlation between the grain subsidy policy and grain production, that is to say, the four grain subsidy policies could promote the grain production effectively. And the degree of the association between the improved varieties subsidy and grain production was the strongest, and others were purchase allowance policy, the comprehensive agricultural subsidies and food direct subsidy according to their ranks. The effect of food direct subsidy was the worst and the degree of the association was just 0.0049. In order to maximizie the effect of grain subsidy policy, firstly, more supports should be given within the rules of the agricultural subsidies of WTO. Secondly, the fund of the grain subsidy should be tilted to the policy that the degree of the association was higher. Also, new agricultural subsidy policy should be explored actively to perfect the system of the grain subsidy policy.